United States – Democrats’ War Policy

November 3, 2023

United States

Democrats’ War Policy

Padmini Arhant

The Democrat political party in the United States exceeded their rival Republican Party in the previous century in Vietnam war initiated by then President John F Kennedy and propelled by the successor President Lyndon B. Johnson.

The former President Jimmy Carter’s legacy tainted citing Iran hostage crisis in foreign policy and worst economy similar to contemporary Bidenomics – the 3I’s viz. skyrocketing inflation, interest rates and income tax affecting consumer basic affordability.

Nevertheless, President Jimmy Carter administration’s footprint in South East Asia viz. Indonesia during the military dictatorship of Suharto’s violent invasion of East Timor is hardly known fact.

The Carter administration along with western allies sporting monicker – the U.S. lap dogs until date Britain and Australia backed the Indonesian dictatorial Suharto regime and aided in the massacre of 100,000 or more civilians in East Timor and participated as cheerleaders in the brutality of Suharto human rights violations against population in East Timor, an island of Timor on either side of the Indian Ocean and Pacific Ocean.

The United States and western alliance funded and militarily backed Suharto government atrocities in Indonesia and East Timor is long remembered by victims of worst humanitarian crimes in that domain.

The Carter administration’s then National Security Advisor Zbigniew Brzezinski pioneered the terror network al-Qaeda in the course of training the mujahideens in Afghanistan to end Soviet occupation. The process also included the later turned al-Qaeda leader Osama Bin Laden from Saudi Arabia trained and regarded the high value asset of the American CIA. The emergence of Taliban is also the by-product of radicalized mujahideens in Afghanistan. 

Under President Bill Clinton, the balkanization of Yugoslavia and the rest of Eastern Europe with Czechoslovakia split into the Czech Republic and Slovak with the prominent one being the Kosovo wars involving NATO intervention with carpet bombing of Belgrade, Yugoslavia killing civilians and leveling buildings in business centers are episodes of typical Superpower syndrome repeated currently in Gaza and Ukraine.

However, the ethnic cleansing of Bosnians resulting in mass graves of Bosnian Muslims in the aftermath of Bosnia and Herzegovina breakup from Serbian control is a gruesome remnant of Yugoslavia disintegration.

The Clintons influence in Haiti in the western hemisphere has been deadlier for the Haitian politics and the population. The situation further exacerbated by successors ex-President George W.Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney ousting the first democratically elected Haitian President Jean-Bertrand Aristide in the United States authorized 2004 coup d’état post-midnight with then elected Haitian leadership Jean-Bertrand Aristide in sleepwear forced into exile to South Africa.

In 2009, the Democrat administration led by the so-called  hope and change Presidency of Barack Obama and Vice President Joe Biden avowed to complete the unfinished task of the predecessor Republican President George W.Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney war assignments related to Project for New American Century (PNAC) setting the stage for 9/11 terror attack on American soil.

The 9/11 event then serving the long espoused and desired military invasion of endless list of oil-rich nations in the Middle East, North and NorthEastern Africa commenced with Republican Bush-Cheney administration and carried out in full swing under the Democrat Obama-Biden stewardship resuming the trend in the ongoing Gaza and Ukraine wars in 2023 as Biden-Obama war game.

The Democrat administration of Obama – Biden between 2009 – 2016 demonstrably surpassed predecessors in decimation and destruction of nations, innocent civilian lives besides creating terror outfits like IS, ISIS, Al Nusra front and various terror factions in Syria, Libya and spreading across the region. Among these eclectic activities, the sponsoring of cannibalism tops the chart in Obama-Biden track record.

The much touted hope and change Presidency of Barack Obama taunted then Republican opponent John McCain of potentially prolonging the Bush-Cheney era upon being elected to office with the political slogan – more of the same in the smear campaign ads and amplified the message of ending wars in the world.

The hope and change Presidency of Barack Obama was incentivized with the Nobel Peace Prize even prior to assuming the Presidential responsibility in 2009.

The recipient Barack Obama Presidency responded to that acclaim in surpassing the previous office bearers – Bush-Cheney carnage and catastrophe exhibiting military might and relentless bombardment like the one in Gaza and Ukraine right now.

Under the democrat Presidency of Barack Obama, the NATO – US military operations intensified in Afghanistan, the supposedly Arab Spring instead of full bloom flora and fauna inflicted full blown shelling, air strikes and nuclear component laden missiles in all targeted destinations worldwide.

The Barack Obama Presidency earned the coveted title ‘The Drone King’ due to passionate penchant for drone attacks in Afghanistan, Pakistan, Libya, Somalia and establishing drone base in South American Colombia unleashing new wave technology and military armament on the developing nations as economic resources enriched regions of the world.

The drone assaults under Barack Obama Presidency was pursued in a manner like video game simulation with reality unfolding on the grounds in violence showered on vulnerable victims fleeing for their lives from the humble dwellings in Afghanistan, Pakistan and locations of aggressors’ choice.

The accomplice in the sadistic thrill also involved Britain’s Royalty – Harry together with Obama chasing children, women and elderly from their make-shift inhabitation in Afghanistan via merciless drone attacks, the series of violent transgressions comprise the paradoxical hope and change trajectory.

The Barack Obama Presidency never shied away from land mines and IED s – the improvised explosive devices, the existential threat to lives in developing nations with innocent children and adults losing lives and / or their limbs and body parts leading to amputation from explosives beneath soil in the battle grounds. The Obama administration had the opportunity to ban the use of land mines and IEDs in 2010 instead let the deployment active much to all living beings detriment.  

The Barack Obama Presidency unprecedented misogynistic unseating and systematic elimination of women leaderships and women headed governments in South and South-East Asia, Latin America, Europe, Australia, Eastern Europe except Africa unravel latent misogyny and selective prejudice against the opposite gender.

Notwithstanding the Barack Obama Presidency apathy declining the former Nigerian President Jonathan Goodluck’s plea during personal visit to the White House for United States assistance in freeing the Nigerian girl students held hostage by the terror group Boko Haram further explained the status quo towards female population by the hope and change Presidency.

Above all, the Barack Obama candidacy in the tough re-election bid in 2012 despite the hoax Abbottabad mission in Pakistan claiming the administration authorized assassination of the long deceased al-Qaeda leader- Osama Bin Laden, the dismal prospects for Barack Obama Presidency evidenced in 2010 shellacking experienced by democrats in the mid-term and gubernatorial election under his leadership prompted desperate action.

The 2012 re-election of Barack Obama Presidency entailed the militarization of the African continent by the military industrial complex, the deal deemed not politically expedient under earlier successive white Presidency in the White House.

The first black Presidency behind the African continent militarization objective posed no resistance from the African Union easing the establishment of the military industrial complex pervasive occupation.

In the rapid escalation of military intrusions in the second term of Barack Obama Presidency, the otherwise difficult bifurcation of the largest African oil-rich nation Sudan was split dragging the citizens in Sudan and South Sudan into persistent political turmoil continued till date.

The Barack Obama Presidency with Vice President Joe Biden marred with military, economic, cyber and environment disasters. Not to mention the blood river flowing throughout the Middle East, North Africa and other regions is legendary in the context of the hope and change vision resulting in miserable contradiction.

The Republican President Donald Trump Presidency obliging United States war policy in favorite destinations such as Afghanistan, Syria, Iraq and Israel’s war against Iran was minimally focused owing to Donald J. Trump Presidency internal warfare waged by democrats extended well and beyond 2016 into 2023 and perhaps longer.

The democrats confining the Trump administration to battle the onslaught citing 2016 alleged Russian collusion expending taxpayer dollars in millions in Robert Mueller Committee and series of impeachment proceedings brought against the Donald Trump Presidency restricted the administration to spare time for the routine United States military excursions offshore.

Subsequently, the COVID global pandemic substituted military warfare with bio-war achieving explosive population reduction satisfying globalists agenda yielding bonanza for profiteers in the bio-engineered virus proven windfall at the pandemic victims’ death, devastation and endless health malady.

Fast forward 2021 – 2023 – the extension of Obama Presidency as Biden – Obama administration financing two wars – Ukraine and Gaza is least surprising.

Neither wars i.e. Gaza nor Ukraine are United States wars and they are fought with American tax dollars, military aid and much more on behalf of Israel against Gaza and Europe especially the rich state Germany against Russia’ draining American taxpayers and the U.S. economy.

Both Israel and Western Europe are habitual of extracting the most out of  American taxpayers for their individual political aspirations and the so-called regional security with Americans funding their wars and financing NATO for Western Europe alongside the latter continuation of energy flow from the warring Russia. 

The politics’ distraction strategy from worst economy with soaring inflation, interest rates and income taxes as highlighted above is to divert public attention to foreign base rejecting the global economic ramifications from constant wars as the custom with utter disregard for human lives, livelihoods, the population present and future existence. 

There is no doubt, the western war policy disguised as democratization in the past and present century is instrumental in demolition of democracy worldwide proved in the violent overthrow of democratically elected governments and leaderships replaced with despots authoritarian fundamentalist governance obsequious to western hegemonic goals and supremacy.

The western fake aversion for socialism, communism and Marxism has been debunked many times over with obvious hypocrisy prevalent in the long surviving and now thriving communist China stronghold on western treasury and economic sector binding western power brokers and politics in quid pro quo empowering the communist nation China to economic powerhouse status.

The United States political party echelons on either side of the aisle receiving the communist China’s overt and covert financial contributions, the corruption dealings with Beijing controlled capitalism for the political members’ personal and vested interests are maintained contrasting anti-communism in the make-believe show and tell politics.

Contrarily, history testament to western viz. the United States and EU key member states involvement in the displacement of democracy in different parts of the world is irrefutable.

The western stance on the global pandemic is another example of western collusion with Beijing ignoring the origin of virus from Wuhan Virology Institute with western funding facilitating the deadly pathogen to consume lives world over.

The Geneva based World Health Organization (WHO) Director General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus coordination and cooperation with Beijing withholding critical public information on SARS(COV2) until well after the contagion effects spread far and wide across the globe and adherence to Beijing instructions rather than international health guidelines on life threatening disease is self-explanatory.

Regardless of political factions in the White House, wars are considered essential rain or shine to enable the defense contractors and the Pentagon flourish together with investors in defense stocks make a killing out of killing innocent children, women, the young and the old, the able and the sick in the zero sum game.

As a result, the Pentagon flouting independent external audit on $$$ Trillions evading accountability to American taxpayers is political resignation from checks and balances alluding to complicity.

Notwithstanding, the private entity Federal Reserve as the United States monetary authority adoption of similar practice prohibiting congressional inquiry impetus legislation for compliance to external audit on Federal Reserve financial transactions in $$$ Trillions including domestic and overseas monetary exchange.

The Democrats in the United States historically left their Republican counterparts far behind in removal of democratic governments, triggering political upheavals and transformation to perpetual war zones in the past and present century.

The Republican war quest and actions are fulfilled by democrats in succession as witnessed and experienced in Bush – Cheney administration war mongering exponentially heightened to meteoric rise under the Nobel Peace Prize winning Obama – Biden tenure between 2009 – 2016 only to be replayed in 2022 with Ukraine war and now in Gaza in 2023.

There is never a dull moment when the administration is obsessed with experimenting military weaponry or science bio-designed virulent microbe. 

The en masse deception, misrepresentation and treason against the nation as well as the republic is normalized as culture.

The tradition is unsustainable with imminent termination of the cause and impact sooner than later.

Padmini Arhant

PadminiArhant.com

Prakrithi.PadminiArhsnt.com

Russia – Predicament and Priority

March 18, 2022

Russia – Predicament and Priority

Padmini Arhant

President Vladimir Putin prior to invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022 expressed grievance and distress on Kiev government’s failure to implement Minsk 1 and II agreements from 2014 and 2015.

Moscow despite being a signatory to Minsk agreements I and II denied any participation in the Donbas region unrest absolving itself of any responsibility in particular reference to foreign viz. Russian troop withdrawal from eastern Ukraine. In this regard, Moscow violated the Minsk agreement as a signatory of the accord.

Additionally, Moscow is also obligatory to guarantee Ukraine’s security on sovereign rights and territorial integrity as signatory to Budapest Memorandum agreed to by Russia, Britain and the United States in 1994. The Budapest memorandum categorically calls for all three signatories to observe Ukraine’s political independence, sovereignty and borders underscoring the major powers to refrain from military measures against sovereign Ukraine.

Again, Russia defaulted in honoring commitment made in the Budapest memorandum. Russia could have extended necessary support and facilitated peaceful resolution to protect Ukrainian, Donbas residents and Russian security interests.

Moscow then stated the calls from Donetsk and Luhansk separatists leadership to come to their aid from Kiev’s violence as the reason for Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine. Though, the issue could have been addressed without any military intervention from Moscow.

The trilateral Minsk agreements I and II between Kiev, the Donbas separatists leaders and Moscow could have been revisited with necessary adjustments to accommodate the side viz. Kiev arguably not satisfied on the territorial secession in alignment with any nation in any region including Russia disapproval of sedition and segregation of sovereign territory.

The issue could have been resolved with mutual understanding and recognition of security interests on all sides rather than authorizing military invasion of Ukraine.

Moscow could have handled the dispute between Kiev and Donbas separatist groups similar to Moscow’s role in the Armenian and Azerbaijan long standing skirmishes and September – November 2020 war resulting in Moscow brokered ceasefire in November 2020.

Moscow handling of situation against Ukraine drastically escalating violence in air raids is extreme and contradictory to positions maintained earlier of having no interest to invade and occupy Ukraine.

Furthermore, Moscow has detailed the following against the west – the United States and NATO operations.

1. Problem: The United States financed bio labs in Ukraine. According to Moscow’s military, they have documentary evidence to this effect.

Solution: Russia presenting evidence to UN General Assembly to all member nations would clarify the allegations one way or another.

The removal of bio chemicals and shutting down the labs in Ukraine could then be followed to protect Ukrainians, Russians and others in Eastern Europe.

2. Problem: Russia’s specific goals in Ukraine regarding demilitarization and denazification.

There is no doubt the United Stated paid and hired private army and mercenaries viz. Blackwater deeply tainted indulgence in Iraq, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Syria and Libya among several other locations with Ukraine one of them in the long list of their widespread involvement since inception of the company wreaked havoc in human rights violations and reckless violent activities never subject to scrutiny nor any accountability.

Blackwater is founded by former U.S. Navy SEAL Erik Prince in 1996 changed name to Xe services LLC in 2009 and thereafter acquired by private investors and renamed U.S. Academi in 2011 retaining the services as proxy army and security contractor albeit proved otherwise on the ground i.e. sabotage peace and security.

The price tag for such service admittedly range from $200,000 – $220,000 a day making only the deep pockets nation afford such extravaganza.

The United States contracted private army Xe Services aka U.S. Academi presence in Ukraine in March 2014 and later led to Maidan square chaos in Kiev in 2014. The tumult rapidly accelerated into U.S. and EU coup d’etat against then democratically elected government of Ukraine.

The western insurrection continued in Kiev with then incumbent President Viktor Yanukovich overthrown from power literally at gun point on global watch much to international dismay.

Notwithstanding, the United States and Britain’s violation of 1994 Budapest Memorandum to abstain from military actions not barring private army such as Blackwater aka Xe services or Academi and any other outfits engagement in Ukraine in 2014 and then onwards leading to status quo.

The United States and EU installed neo-nazi government in Ukraine subsequent to overthrow of President Yanukovych government in 2014 added fuel to rising tensions in Crimea and eastern Donbas region.

Solution: Russia’s complete ceasefire ending air strikes, missiles, rockets and other aerial, marine and ground activities effective immediately in Ukraine is the urgent priority.

The United States deployed private army U.S.Academi  and mercenaries to be removed with instant departure from Ukraine and neighboring NATO ally states to prevent any false operations and otherwise upon Russian ceasefire.

The neo-nazi factions in Ukraine are to be disenfranchised from Ukrainian governance and political power sharing to free Ukraine from undemocratic influence.

The above outlined actions should redress Ukraine and Russia’s security concerns and civilian safety in the embattled zone.

3. Problem: Kremlin’s complaint regarding western weapons supply to Ukraine.

Solution: Kremlin ceasing above specified military operations comprehensively in Ukraine and resuming peaceful negotiations as enunciated in the Ukraine – Russia permanent peace treaty 2022 in this domain would appropriately halt western ammunition delivery to Ukraine.

Western default post Russian ceasefire would be addressed accordingly in the event of such error.

It is a litmus test for all sides on compliance with necessary actions and rules of engagement.

4. Problem: Humanitarian Corridor to allow safe civilian evacuation.

Solution: The termination of Russian military  aggression in entirety besides any foreign participation from any sources in disguise conducting military attacks and assaults on Ukraine’s infrastructure whether areas near nuclear power plants, civilian complexes of any types and other premise should essentially stymie the need for civilians to flee their native territory.

All efforts translated into decisive actions to cease hostility to protect lives of Ukrainians, Russians, International students trapped in the bunkers is yet another priority.

Russian military authority leading the way in ceasefire and withdrawal in this context is crucial for others to follow suit. 

5. Problem: NATO expansion.

Solution: Russia – NATO permanent peace treaty 2022 provided in this domain to be discussed and established in place simultaneously with Ukraine – Russia permanent peace treaty 2022.

The protocol to begin at the immediate ceasefire and withdrawal of forces from Russia.

Meanwhile the exchange of prisoners of war (POW) ensuring safe return of combat personnel on Ukraine and Russian side not excluding volunteers representing Ukrainian line of defense are to be treated humanely in accordance with Geneva convention and international rule of law.

They all have to be released for return back to their country of origin and reunion with their family.

Civilian plight has been enormous as expected in any warfare. The civilians affected in the last 21 days of Russian invasion and occupation of Ukraine are to be provided humanitarian assistance and rehabilitation  with ultimate safety and security of their return back home.

Upon compliance of all of these critical and monumental requirements towards peaceful settlement, the sanctions relief against Russian economy to enable Russian population survival and recovery from economic repercussions would be the next phase of priority.

Russian President Vladimir Putin and Kremlin’s predicament and priorities are effectively dealt in ending violence against Ukraine.

The Russian leadership abandoning continuation of military operations in and around Ukraine and instead adopting peaceful approach are guaranteed to mitigate confrontations and challenges facing Russia and neighbor Ukraine.

Peace to Ukraine and Russia!

Padmini Arhant

Author & Presenter

PadminiArhant.com

Prakrithi.PadminiArhant.com

Ukraine – Russia Peace Treaty 2022

March 6, 2022

Russian President Vladimir Putin’s War :  The current war waged by President Vladimir Putin is not only against Ukraine, it is also against the people of Russia.

Russian forces have been killed in the so-called special operation initiated and deployed by President Vladimir Putin strictly for personal goals – the revival of Soviet empire confirmed in the latest demands by the Russian President regarding the Donbas region – Donetsk and Luhansk states of Ukraine.

The massive Russian casualties suffered in the last 12 days conflict has prompted the Russian President Vladimir Putin to offer compensation in Russian rubles to Russian families on the loss of lives in the unnecessary battle. Similarly, Russian forces returning home with serious body injury and disabilities that are inevitable in any warfare are being offered government monetary aid.

These efforts need not be expended upon President Vladimir Putin ending the occupation immediately in sincere consideration of Russian lives and Russian economy that are at stake experiencing immense pain and suffering due to the Russian leadership’s irrational ambitions. 

These developments are related to earlier venture.

The Russian President Vladimir Putin has treaded on the trail going back in 2008 with South Ossetia and Abkhazia – separated from the sovereign Georgian state in caucasus region.

Likewise previously in Chechnya in the Northern Caucasus declared the defacto republic under Russian Federation.

The Russian President Vladimir Putin’s hardline approach against Chechnya to stifle then secession of Chechnya from Russian control leading to two Chechen wars in 1994-1996 and later in 1999 is now paradoxically promoted in Donbas region by the Russian leadership against Ukraine.

The secessionism from Russia is not tolerated. However, the secessionist activities in Ukraine are facilitated and advanced through direct Russian military invasion  of Ukraine.

The Russian leadership’s controversial and contentious policy is by any definition a serious violation of sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine.

The imperialistic quest of major powers persisting in the twenty first century adamantly failing to recognize the new reality on independence of nations and its citizens is ominous for the leadership and those behind interventionism as the way to annex territories  via violence and aggression.

The imperialistic dream on revival of empires citing earlier centuries of dominance and insisting on reinstating the era are reminded that such egregious accounts would only lead to eventual dawn of creation of the planet leaving none as the imperial power.

The planet creation and evolution of life remaining at the Supernatural helm with human inhabitation being transitory and transitionary. 

The infallible and incontrovertible truth in this context invalidate any imperialistic dominance and invariably succumb to precipitous decline due to unrealistic expansionism in the past, present and expected in the future. 

Padmini Arhant 

Author & Presenter

PadminiArhant.com

Prakrithi.PadminiArhant.com 

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Ukraine Update – The Russian President Vladimir Putin’s explanation on the ongoing military operation in Ukraine suggesting the military aggression is carried out to protect Donbas in eastern Ukraine and eliminate nationalists and neo-nazis allegedly using civilians as human shields is beyond reason, sensibility and humanitarian concept. 

How is it justifiable to force the Russians and Ukrainian population combined to lay their lives and leave their homeland for the sake of a territory that is part of the sovereign nation Ukraine and those few individuals the Russian President wants to settle scores with, when they are not in the war zone having fled the scene since Russian invasion ?

Besides, history is testament to the fact, no aggressor till date has won the battle against nations regarded a fair game based on miscalculation of those nations’ vulnerability or military capability by the so-called mighty nations with or without nuclear status.

Russia as the former Soviet Republic is already experienced in this respect – invasion and occupation  of Afghanistan contributing to the collapse of Soviet Union.

How many more lessons a nation needs to lay the old guards and accept a new reality?

Ukraine is an independent sovereign nation. The illegal invasion and occupation of any sovereign nation by commonly and predominantly major powers have proved a colossal mistake and a failure. 

It is not going to be any different this time. 

Russian forces are deployed in the unnecessary warfare and Russia is being dragged into long term economic crisis that are far worse than the Russian leadership conducted special operation for personal goals.

President Vladimir Putin ending the military invasion is the only option to mitigate severe economic damages to Russia and importantly saving lives on both sides of the conflict.

No position, power or authority is greater than the will of the people determined to defend their homeland, sovereignty, territorial integrity and above all their individual liberty as citizens of the nation under attack.

Ukraine is currently drawn into defending their country from foreign infiltration.

The Ukrainians are demonstrating their ability to rescue their land from violent destruction by foreign authority. Every nation subject to this dilemma has invariably prevailed due to right not might wins even in the dark age.

Padmini Arhant

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Permanent Peace Treaty 2022

Ukraine – Russia

Padmini Arhant

 

Ukraine – Russia Peace Treaty 2022

Padmini Arhant

The primary focus is to establish peace in Ukraine including east Ukraine – the Donbas region, Donetsk and Luhansk republics having experienced unrest since the political turmoil in 2014 that began in Kiev’s Maidan square.

It is already established that foreign interference from the west in installing pro-western governments not barring neo-nazi ones in Kiev in 2014 went terribly wrong and then onwards Ukraine’s sovereignty has been subject to extreme trials and tribulations along different territories especially in eastern Ukraine.

Whenever there are foreign intrusions in a country either politically and/or militarily, tensions flare causing chaos and confusion in society.

The western appointed governments in Kiev were engaged in promoting counterproductive strategies then and thereafter that hurt Ukraine than helping the country. The aftermath of Maidan square protests in Kiev in 2014 had spread across eastern region Crimea and Donbas creating insecurity and fear among ethnic Russians and majority Russian speaking population at that time.

There is no doubt the atmosphere in Maidan square in 2014 split the nation into pro-western Ukrainians on one side and pro-Russian Ukrainians on the other side. Such situation typically divide the country. Unfortunately, that was the outcome of Maidan rally in 2014 generating isolation of eastern Ukraine. The citizens in Crimea and Donbas obviously feared for their life and felt threatened considering the violence erupting in Kiev transformed into ethnic clashes giving rise to pro-Russian separatist groups seeking independence.

The death toll from the confrontation between Ukrainian armed forces and pro-Russian separatists reported to be initially 2,600 and now increased to 15,000 or more according to Ukrainian authorities in Kiev. Regardless of low or high figure, the loss of life on any side is regrettable and turbulence in the region contributes to volatility hindering normal existence.

Meanwhile Russian Federation is accused of direct involvement earlier in Crimea leading to Crimean union with Russia. The neighbor Russia foothold in Donbas region allegedly supplying arms to pro-Russian rebels as they are referred to and training them in the last eight years or so alongside Russian military presence in that part of Ukraine fueled further tensions until now.

Although Russia has repeatedly denied these charges, the Russian support in some form or another to separatists in Donetsk, Luhansk and previously Crimea are confirmed via Russian officials statements at UNSC meeting and Russian state media.

The latest being the Russian President Vladimir Putin’d decree recognizing and declaring Donetsk and Luhansk in Donbas as independent republics on February 21, 2022.

The move from Russia as an external nation in Ukraine’s internal affair ignited the spark with subsequent Russian invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022 attracting condemnation and western sanctions that are expected to severely impact the Russian leadership and many others in Russian ministry as well as Duma. Notwithstanding setbacks to Russian financial system with Russian central bank and financial institutions blocked from SWIFT international messaging network.

These effects could have been averted by President Vladimir Putin having been made aware of serious economic and financial repercussions upon Russian military invasion of Ukraine.

The Russian President was reminded via this domain about the former Iraqi President Saddam Hussein treading on the same path in 1990 against Kuwait. The west then launched avalanche of sanctions and military aggression against Iraq citing then Iraqi President’s fatal error.

Following the violence in Donbas region in 2014, the Minsk I and Minsk II agreements were reached in September 2014 and February 2015 respectively between Ukraine, the separatists leaders of Donetsk and Luhansk as well as Russia.

The agreement was witnessed and held in the presence of Germany and France then leaderships in Belarus capital Minsk. The Organization for Security and Co-Operation in Europe (OSCE) was the monitoring authority to observe and verify the ceasefire in the region. The OSCE reported ceasefire violations on all sides adding the Minsk accord was not adhered to by the signatories making it difficult to implement the agreement.

The Minsk I and Minsk II is welcome by Moscow, a signatory on the accord. However, Moscow has absolved itself from responsibility in abiding by the agreement code claiming itself a non-participant in the conflict. The Minsk Ii agreement calls for withdrawal of forces from eastern region, the foreign military in particular reference to Russia being the occupier in the troubled territories of Ukraine.

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The Minsk agreement details in public domain is as follows:

Courtesy: Reuters February 21, 2022. Thank you.

“An immediate and comprehensive ceasefire

Withdrawal of all heavy weapons by both sides

Monitoring and verification by the OSCE

To start a dialogue on interim self-government for the Donetsk and Luhansk regions, in accordance with Ukrainian law, and acknowledge their special status by parliamentary resolution.

A pardon and amnesty for people involved in the fighting

An exchange of hostages and prisoners.

Provision of humanitarian assistance.

Resumption of socio-economic ties, including pensions.

Restoration of full control of the state border by the government of Ukraine.

Withdrawal of all foreign armed formations, military equipment and mercenaries.

Constitutional reform in Ukraine including decentralisation, with specific mention of Donetsk and Luhansk.

Elections in Donetsk and Luhansk on terms to be agreed with their representatives.

Intensifying the work of a Trilateral Contact Group comprising representatives of Russia, Ukraine and the OSCE.”

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As mentioned above, Moscow insists Kiev to implement Minsk accord. Kiev on their part disapprove some enforcements of the Minsk deal. Kiev also revealed on the Minsk agreement being forced upon them by Moscow via threats and coercion.

Ukraine has a fair point and reason for reservations. For any agreement to be effective, the terms and conditions have to be multilaterally amicable rather than unilateral imposition against one side creating undue advantage for others in the matter.

At the same time, Ukraine must also accept responsibility for the events since 2014 that began in Kiev’s maidan square allowing the west i.e. the European Union (EU) and United States to sabotage Ukraine’s territorial integrity via the western imperialist divide and conquer strategy that segregated Ukraine into pro-west in western and pro-Russian in eastern Ukraine. Arguably, both have specific demands and expectations from Kiev, the central authority then notably in foreign control and domestically comprising arbitrary decision makers in power.

Whatever has happened so far is extremely unfortunate for Ukraine. The immediate actions required for Ukraine to restore peace and stability are as follows:

Ukraine – Russia Permanent Peace Treaty 2022 – 20 point 

1.  Ukraine – Russia Permanent Peace Treaty 2022Ukraine government and politics in general must abandon fascist ideology and neo-nazi elements within to start afresh on viable functional vibrant democracy. The present and future democratic governments in Kiev crackdown on corruption in the system would spare the country from foreign and domestic economic abuse as well as exploitation that are fundamental cause in Ukraine’s status quo

2. Ukraine government and political factions should disavow violence and aggressive approach towards Ukrainians in eastern Ukraine i.e. Donbas region. The citizens in Donetsk and Luhansk are to be treated and acknowledged as Ukrainians first barring any form of discrimination and isolation based on ethnicity, language such as Russian speaking and any cultural distinction.

3. Ukraine to adopt stringent security measures to protect citizens in eastern Ukraine – Donetsk and Luhansk Donbas region. The Ukraine peace keeping forces to be deployed to prevent any violence and unrest in these territories with citizens in Donetsk and Luhansk guaranteed absolute peace, safety and security in their domain. The dissent should be resolved peacefully without any use of violence such as shooting and other form of life threatening tactics and mechanism.

4. Ukrainian national guards and border security forces to be positioned in eastern Ukraine synonymous to other border frontiers to maintain Ukraine’s territorial rights from foreign infiltration without exception viz. Russia or the west and anyone from anywhere.

5. Donetsk and Luhansk – the self-declared republics are not really independent due to Moscow’s military protection in the form of occupation sought from Moscow against Ukrainian violence experienced in the last eight years of conflict. The status is being resolved with Ukraine government under this 2022 treaty by delivering the necessary safety and security not only in Donetsk and Luhansk but entire eastern Ukraine. The issue should no longer be the concern moving forward towards permanent peace barring willful violations from any front.

6. The citizens in Donetsk and Luhansk as Ukrainians have no reason to breakaway with their territories situated in eastern part of Ukraine. The security issue being addressed under this treaty, the two separatists states are better off in a new democratic Ukraine with better economic prospects and importantly political freedom.

7.  Donetsk and Luhansk citizens would elect their representatives in the respective states and be represented in Ukrainian Parliament with people choice elected members in a free and fair election conforming to Ukrainian constitution and election rule.

8. Ukraine government to extend economic opportunity, education, health choices beside social, cultural freedom and other essential requirements for safe normal existence to citizens in Donetsk and Luhansk similar to the rest of Ukraine

9. Donetsk and Luhansk to remain an integral part of Ukraine in the eastern region. The citizens in these two states would have equal political rights and freedom as Ukraine citizens in the rest of the country. Both states would receive federal funding from Kiev towards public projects and facilities such as railway, national highways, airports, national parks, waters and other reserves in the eastern region. The states would be run and governed with autonomy by citizens elected state government. The two states Donetsk and Luhansk would constitute union of Ukraine People’s Republic under Ukraine constitution.

10. The citizens in these two states and from this region would have explicit rights to serve in Ukrainian army to defend their territory and that of the country they are part of now and in the future.

11. Instant and irrevocable ceasefire from all sides in Donetsk, Luhansk – the Donbas region and entire eastern Ukraine is paramount on permanent basis.

12. The situation will be monitored by representatives from Kiev, Donetsk and Luhansk peace keeping force representing civilians not any separatists or political factions on either side.

13.  The prisoners, hostages and other captives held in each other’s custody in the course of eight years conflict in ethnic violence to be pardoned and released on the condition to serve the community as productive citizens and never engage in violence or communal riots and disturbance.

14.  Russian Federation to end militarization and occupation of Ukraine effective immediately. The Russian forces withdrawal ceasing military operations on air, ground and naval base in eastern and the rest of Ukraine is critical to initiate and implement peace process.

15. The Russian influence on Donetsk, Luhansk and Donbas region in any format like military assistance, training and equipment would be violation of Ukrainian sovereignty and represent foreign intervention. Hence, Russian political leadership and those behind interventionist policy in Kremlin renouncing such interference is imperative for  peaceful co-existence among population in Donbas region, Ukraine as a whole nation and Russia, the indefinite neighbor and peace partner.

16. Ukraine to remain a neutral nation and not become a NATO ally under any pressure, incentives or disguised representation. The status is not only important for Ukraine’s independence but also the latest development exemplify the true spirit lacking among NATO against Ukraine especially in the reality of EU and United States generated catastrophe in 2014 prolonged till date.

The 1994 Budapest memorandum signed by the United States, Britain and Russia to honor sovereignty, independence and protect non-nuclear states like Ukraine and other former Soviet republics subsequent to nuclear disarmament has been completely ignored and violated despite reminder from the current Kiev government of President Volodymyr Zelensky prior to Russian invasion last week.

17. Ukraine citizens including Donetsk and Luhansk population to receive economic assistance from United States and European Union as reparation and restoration costs suffered by Ukraine collectively until now.The economic compensation to be transacted in transparent public trust set up with international independent committee monitoring fund appropriation to revive Ukrainian economy together with Donbas region as Ukraine territory.

The financial contributions is a result of United States and European Union being directly responsible for Ukraine’s status quo originating from western insurrection against Kiev’s democratically elected government in Maidan square in 2014 and successive meddling contributing to loss of Crimea to Russia and separatisms in eastern Donbas region.

Additionally, the members involved in western insurrection in 2014 should pay Ukraine citizens for the loss incurred by them. The payment to be expended on public projects like schools, health care centers and Ukrainian public welfare. The individuals from the west behind Ukraine insurrection in Maidan square should be subject to similar laws applied against United States citizens on January 6, 2021 Capital riots in Washington, D.C. Since the incident occurred in foreign soil viz. Ukraine, the foreign perpetrators of Ukrainian insurrection to be subject to international law.

18. Russia to compensate Ukraine on the military invasion on February 24, 2022 until now to rebuild infrastructure brought down with Russian military strikes and air assault.

19. Ukraine to receive humanitarian aid from UN and western organizations to rehabilitate Ukrainians forced to flee their homeland as refugees across the border for safe return home.

20. Ukraine’s sovereignty and boundary with Russia, Belarus and NATO allies Poland, Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania and Black sea to be free from nuclear arsenal and all form of military artillery near and far.

The clause binds Russia and NATO as two nuclear and military powers remaining existential threat to all nations in the region. Therefore, Russia and NATO are obligatory to remove military and nuclear weapons from the region.

Ukraine to provide absolute and comprehensive economic support and security to all citizens in Donbas region – Donetsk and Luhansk to continue as Union of Ukraine sovereignty.

That covers the Ukraine -Russia permanent peace deal.

Briefly in relation to the ongoing crisis, NATO amassed troops in Poland and other NATO ally nations to defend them in the region while leaving Ukraine to fend for itself besides supply of weapons to Ukraine at the eleventh hour. The flurry of western sanctions against Russian banks and political members are preemptive measure to protect own interests in Europe.

The western response to this effect might be they were heeding Russian President Vladimir Putin’s warning to outside forces with particular reference to western intrusion in the conflict that would otherwise trigger nuclear option.

Russia obliging western predictions on Russian invasion of Ukraine. The west retreating on Russia’s overt nuclear threat make both of them partners in a well coordinated armed conflict with Ukraine paying the price as battleground.

Important lesson in this crisis is never to expect or believe the ones harming and inflicting extensive damages to come around and heal or restore conditions to normal.

On nuclear fronts, the time has arrived and in fact was long overdue for global denuclearization without exception. The major nuclear powers like the United States and Russia along with others maintaining false notion of them being responsible nuclear powers and assuming other nuclear aspirants the reckless in the nuclear club is debunked by none other than them and their public rhetoric.

In the United States, the republican and democrat Presidents as well Presidential candidates have unabashedly used the typical Presidential line – all options are on the table meaning would not shy away from using nuclear weapons.

The extreme statements in recent times have been delivered from the left and right.

The democrat Presidential candidate Hillary Clinton in 2008 Presidential election – Upon being elected President of the United States would not hesitate to Obliterate Iran with nuclear might. The statement was made by then Presidrntial candidate Hillary Clinton predominantly to appease AIPAC – the American Israel Public Affairs Committee.

The democrat President Barack H. Obama toeing the line with republican predecessor President George W.Bush repeatedly used – all options are on the table against Iran, Syria and North Korea among others in the adversarial listing.

The republican President Donald J. Trump took the extreme posturing and clarified verbatim to North Korean Head of State and Leader Kim Jong Un on the American nuclear potency.

Then President Donald Trump issued a statement to North Korea on nuclear threats – “they will be met with fire and fury the world has never eeen before in history.”

The former President Donald Trump tweeted – “I too have a  Nuclear Button, but it is a much bigger & more powerful one than his, and my Button works!”

Now, Russian President Vladimir Putin evidently didn’t want to be left behind in the nuclear threat race and placed the world on notice with the Ukraine crisis escalating to nuclear confrontation with the west.

North Korean leader and head of the state Kim Jong-Un conveys nuclear message via ballistic missile.

Indian Prime Minister – the incumbent PM Narendra Modi boasted to rural voters in the election campaign rally that India’s nuclear arsenal are not cosmetic like Diwali fire crackers citing the nuclear weapons could be deployed on moments notice. The message was directed at the neighbor and rival Pakistan, another nuclear state in the Indian sub-continent.

These reasons abundantly justify for the world to be rid of nuclear menace once and for all. Small or big actors on stage, the nuclear arsenal at their disposal endanger the world and humanity at large.

All efforts and resources must be invested in global nuclear disarmament, freeing the world from living on the edge and rescuing humanity from forbidden nuclear holocaust.

The topic will focus on steps and systematic elimination of nuclear weapons in the planet.

Thank you.

Padmini Arhant

Author & Presenter

PadminiArhant.com

Prakrithi.PadminiArhant.com

Russia – Ukraine Crisis

February 23, 2022

Ukraine – Russia

Peace Treaty 2022

Padmini Arhant 

The topic will be presented with focus on Ukraine including the eastern Ukraine – Donbas region and Russia .

The comprehensive details will address concerns, grievances and relevant matter on all sides.

Padmini Arhant 

——————~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Russia – Domestic Priorities 

Padmini Arhant

Russian Government press TASS news agency reports 133,000 new COVID cases per day with many critically ill hospitalized right now. 

The western insurrection in 2014 until now having been instrumental for Ukraine’s status quo now imposing sanctions against Russia targeting the Nord stream 2 Pipeline and key economic assets would further cripple already struggling Russian economy. Moscow is responsible for the latest impulsive action in the invasion of Ukraine ignoring well meaning cautions to resist such pressure and exercise discernment from economic and security standpoint of Russians, Ukrainians including the eastern Ukraine Donbas region. The economic crisis is going to deepen affecting not just Russia, Ukraine and Europe but the entire world. 

The global pandemic having inflicted tremendous pain and suffering health and economic wise, the unnecessary warfare in Ukraine simply to exhibit military might and out-of-control delivery in air strikes, missiles and air raid in Kiev and other parts of Ukraine is extremely irresponsible and reckless action from Moscow.

Russian President Vladimir Putin latest invitation to Kiev for talks stated via Kremlin’s Press Secretary Dmitry Peskov could have been extended prior to Moscow’s shelling and authorization of troops mobilization into Ukraine’s territory. Alternatively, Moscow could have at least provided Kiev an opportunity when President Volodymyr Zelenskyy was requesting President Vladimir Putin over phone call to resolve via peaceful talks and direct communication. 

Nonetheless, the Russian political leadership stance and words have been subject to speculations and skepticisms by own action in the last 48 hours on the burgeoning issue. Moscow repeatedly claiming to have no plans to invade Ukraine while having deployed at least 200,000 troops all around Ukraine since November 2021 and until now is a major trust factor for Russia.

The public press release from Moscow through Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA) categorically denying all information in this regard and reiterating no incursions around Ukraine only proven otherwise with the military assault this morning and confirmation from Moscow to this effect. Such involvement from Moscow raise questions on seriousness to engage in peaceful discourse and settle the dispute once and for all. Furthermore, Moscow abruptly springing a surprise rather shockwaves via air strikes and missiles targeting Ukraine’s sensitive infrastructure on Thursday morning only highlights Moscow’s indecisive and untrustworthy decisions and actions so far against Ukraine.

President Vladimir Putin’s leadership is challenged by self-determined counterproductive engagement against Ukraine. Moscow’s issues and bone of contention is against NATO as revealed by President Vladimir Putin time and time again. The west are equally if not more culpable for not allowing diplomacy and dialogue a chance to avert Russian military intervention against Ukraine known well ahead of time and confirmed by western intelligence in the entire year 2021. 

Any nation and political leadership in particular as the head of the state default on their word and written commitment such as Moscow’s guarantee and pledge not to invade Ukraine and proceed towards aggression destroying lives, infrastructure and economy has invited upon itself mistrust and misgivings from many near and far raising a credibility issue on accepting anything from them on formal or informal basis. Moscow has placed itself in a situation from being responsible and discerning to impulsive and reactionary force letting the worst get the best out of it that are neither beneficial nor respectable for a nation like Russia. 

President Vladimir Putin ending the military raid and invasion of Ukraine effective immediately is the preliminary step towards preventing deaths and devastation of Ukraine. Russia expressing empathy for Ukrainians as part of Russian society and simultaneously shelling the same citizens homes and environment with heavy artillery and high grade military weapons clearly reveal the negative detrimental course underway right now. 

In order to commence any direct dialogue with Kiev, it is imperative for Moscow to cease military operation in the immediate moment without caving and cowering to any pressure or influence of any kind from anywhere. Moscow’s demands and Kiev’s position could only be reconciled with Moscow terminating military and other form of invasion and occupation of Ukraine.

Kiev’s preparedness to end this conflict is also dependent on Ukraine being spared from militarization by Moscow and the west in respect for Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity. The failure in this regard from Moscow or the west would testify the lack of interest and initiative to acknowledge Ukraine’s independence as a free nation. 

The details on Russia – Ukraine Peace Treaty will be elaborated shortly.

Padmini Arhant

Author & Presenter

PadminiArhant.com

Prakrithi.PadminiArhant.com

________________________________________ 

Ukraine Invasion 

Padmini Arhant

President Vladimir Putin up until yesterday categorically denied any invasion plans or troop deployment in Ukraine. The Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA) publicly clarified to this effect in the 10 page document press release on February 17, 2022.

The latest development from Russian political leadership President Vladimir Putin authorizing invasion of Donbas in eastern Ukraine exemplify lack of trustworthiness in Moscow’s position. Moscow’s action is contradictory to Moscow’s open statement.

President Vladimir Putin further called the incumbent Ukrainian government in Kiev – “an american puppet.” When in fact, Moscow is obliging western predictions on Russian invasion of Ukraine. 

The status quo defines Who is who?

Action speaks louder than words in all matter.

Padmini Arhant

——————————————————————————————————————————————————————–

Russia – NATO

Permanent Peace Deal 2022

Padmini Arhant

by

The content in the message is presented as constructive data.The substance draws global attention to real events, policies and decisions describing the state of affairs between Russia and NATO and the world.

Russia – NATO Permanent  Peace Deal 2022

The two powerful sides viz. Russia and United States led NATO continue to dispute on security in eastern Europe. Though both sides have their share of arguments and justifications in this matter, the present situation calls for a permanent security arrangement in recognition of all nations sovereignty and territorial integrity in eastern Europe. Notwithstanding the global peace and security is endangered considering the alarming nuclear status of both Russia and United States together with NATO allies posing a major threat in the present time.

To begin with, it is important for all sides to focus on current problems, recent events i.e. since the turn of the twenty first century with geopolitical and geoeconomics landscape shifting dramatically in the region and worldwide.

NATO led by United States has to leave the cold war era with former U.S.S.R behind and engage with Russia as a sovereign nation equivalent in nuclear power if not more besides being a permanent member in the UN security council with veto entitlement. As a sovereign nation, Russia has genuine security concerns regarding NATO presence and alliance near Russian territory. According to United States and NATO, the alliance is claimed as defense strategy against Russia from any potential threats in eastern and central Europe. The western position against Russia in this regard might very well be based on twentieth century school of thoughts and think tanks as well as cold war renegades perspective.

However, in the twenty first century, upon evaluating military interventions, illegal invasion and occupation of foreign land globally, United States and NATO combined forces by far rank the front runner and foremost aggressor followed by China. Again, the twenty first century first quarter in the last two decades United States and NATO footprints on foreign soil via military bases, naval and air dominance is widely known and prevalent until now.

The world war II in 1942 brought Germany and Japan’s imperial quest to an end. UNSC was formed without them. The two nations Germany and Japan diverted course from political and military status to build economic strength and have successfully become economically stable nations since then. In comparison with Germany and Japan, Russia became the UNSC permanent member with veto power and sought imperial status as USSR in the latter half of twentieth century. This route proved extremely arduous and economically challenging for USSR and consequentially led to the collapse of Soviet Union. Russia in the course of UNSC formation and membership also became the nuclear power like the rest of the UNSC permanent members viz. United States, Britain, France and China. Among the UNSC five permanent members, following former Soviet Union dissolution, Russia lags behind the other four members viz. the United States, Britain, France and China in threatening foreign sovereignty and border incursions in different parts of the world. Interestingly, the five permanent members have imperialistic past and present track record with west as NATO along with United States and China are existential threat to sovereignty and territorial integrity at the moment.

Not to mention, the United States, western Europe and China partnership in the worst health and economic disaster unleashed through global pandemic until now is a verifiable experience.

The Russian Federation since disintegration of Soviet Union is struggling economically due to multifaceted reasons and one of them being western sanctions urging Russia to conform to western style democracy which in itself is highly questionable and accordingly merit exclusive focus on this topic which will be presented in the immediate future.

The world witnessed United States and NATO endeavors on democracy in Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, Syria, Thailand and Ukraine to name a few in the last two decades of modern age.

The end results were as follows:

Iraq was not democratized instead demolished by United States and NATO via invasion and occupation.

Afghanistan is Talibanized after two decades of United States and NATO shelling and occupation of the country leaving Afghan women, children and youth at the mercy of Taliban government. The disorganized withdrawal in 2021 by United States and NATO in compliance with Taliban demands produced mayhem with locals latching on to airplane wings to flee Taliban rule. The foreigners mostly United States defense personnel and family were stranded for months end and many are still  desperately trying to exit since Taliban takeover of the Islamic state.

Libya was not liberated and in turn transformed into a lawless land with free self serve on Libyan oil by foreign entities is the norm in the aftermath of NATO bombing the north African country.

Syria was decimated under the pretext of democratization leaving millions of Syrians displaced in their homeland with political asylum denied for Syrian refugees in the aggressors land.

Thailand – The democratically elected government headed by Yingluck Shinawatra in 2011 was forcefully and undemocratically removed from office by turning off electric power supply to the serving Prime Minister’s office. The direct western intrusion in Thailand replaced then democratically elected government accused of corruption with incorrigibly corrupt military junta in 2014.

Ukraine was introduced to startling real insurrection in the most violent format with democratically elected government of President Viktor Yanukovich forced out of office literally at gun point in world view in 2014.

Needless to say, the slew of United States led western decapitation of democracy was underway in different parts of the world in 2014.

Amid these events, Ukraine in particular held hostage since 2014 by the west – United States and EU direct meddling and installation of neo-nazi governments post western coup in that country.

The irony is the rhetoric echoed following the script warning Russia against invasion of Ukraine. When in fact, it is not if Russia invades Ukraine, the reality is Ukraine already invaded and occupied since 2014 by western political and economic stakeholders reaping personal financial gains at ordinary Ukrainians expense. The latest revelation is expecting Ukraine to become a NATO ally in the controversial NATO’s open door policy inviting members in Europe, the eastern Europe as the focal point leading to status quo.

Clearly, United States and NATO role in the twenty first century could hardly be justified as defensive anywhere in the absence of overt or covert security threats to United States and western states from nations targeted by the U.S. and NATO so far.

The economic sanctions used and exploited by the west against nations designated as indefinite adversaries constitute economic war. It is also the most inhumane and hostile action predominantly affecting innocent populations of the country as well as the rest of the world with businesses deprived of inter-economic opportunity from these nations.

Juxtaposed, no western nations or allies regardless of chaos and catastrophe inflicted by them worldwide have ever been subject to economic sanctions or trade embargo that are otherwise common practice against non-western nations in the past and present. The western trend continued till date raise questions on ethical and democratic essence ignored time and time again by the so-called western democracy.

The another bone of contention for United States against Russia is strategic arms including long and short range ballistic missiles that are now in place with the New START treaty extended in 2021. The original START treaty between United States and Russia signed in April 2010 was ratified in February 2011. The treaty set to expire in Feb 2021 was extended for another five years until February 2026 by the current administration in the United States with Russian Federation consent and cooperation. There should be really no issues in this regard barring non-compliance from either side. Although, the imminent requirement is global denuclearization and nuclear disarmament as elaborated by me in this domain padminiarhant.com since 2008 and until now.

There is no doubt nuclear threat continues to endanger life and humanity at large even though contemporarily mankind forced to deal with global pandemic let loose by withholding critical scientific information. The biowarfare via pathogens of tremendous potency in mutation and virulence consumed several millions lives and crippled health and economic survival world over.

United States and NATO citing Russia’s cold war tendency engaged in not only building NATO alliance in eastern Europe but also utilize the eastern bloc as defacto nuclear partners against Russia. This setting is very similar to United States arrangement in Korean Peninsula and Asia Pacific arguably against other nations viz. North Korea and China sharing borders with Russia.

All around, Russia is faced with United States and NATO incursions in the Baltic Sea, Black Sea, Caspian sea, South China Sea and Yellow Sea – the Russian neighbors Iran on Caspian sea, China and North Korea on South China and Yellow sea. These are maritime borders where United States routinely conducts naval and military exercise. Additionally, United States is militarily engaged against Iran, North Korea and China in this part of the world. Russia as a neighbor has to contend with this dilemma as well.

United States and NATO issues against Russia is cold war calculations reminiscent of Soviet era. Henceforth, the west seek non-adversarial relations from Russia towards neighbors in eastern bloc. Russia has rejected such western claims and project NATO occupation near Russian territory as the burgeoning issue.

Russian Federation clarifications on former Soviet nations and territories in eastern and central Europe as well as Central Asia as independent sovereign states with demarcated boundaries is to be stated and incorporated in the Russia – NATO accord. Russian military activities whether on Black or Baltic sea and land drills should be on Russian land and waters to dispel any concerns on possible Russian infringement on territorial rights of states near and far from Russia. The states in this context are Ukraine and Georgia with whom Russia is yet to reconcile normal relations in all fronts i.e. mutually beneficial political, economic and cultural ties to maintain peace and security. The Baltic states Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania as EU members and NATO allies are weaponized including nuclear stock piles with training on the use of nuclear arsenal or component is Russia’s one of many major complaints that are detailed here.

Having examined United States and NATO apprehensions against Russia, there is no ambivalence they are associated with former Soviet Union. Any repeat developments from Russia in the present time is not apparent on the international and territorial infiltration. Crimea is a state referendum and constitutional amendment driven union with Russian Federation of Crimean citizens’ choice. Furthermore as stated earlier on this topic, the Crimea and Ukraine status quo is entirely and exclusively brought upon by United States and EU insurrection on Ukraine’s then democratically elected government. The western acknowledgment in this respect is long overdue and would further assist in alleviating misconception on Russian territorial annexation on Crimea.

Russia’s stance – The Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA) published 10-page document on February 17, 2022. The main content was that the US and its allies refused to even address Russia’s “red lines” and key security interests. The MFA also addressed specific issues such as Ukraine, Crimea, US troop presence and weapons build-up along Russian borders, as well as arms control.

Moscow statement per MFA public release.

1.Russia has no plans to invade Ukraine. Moscow calls the conflict in Ukraine “entirely internal in character.”

2. Crimea case closed. As explained earlier, Crimea was a voluntary union with Russian Federation enabled by western generated political unrest and Ukraine accommodating such crisis on their turf in 2014.

3. US must withdraw from Russian borders.

Russia has “no forces on the territory of Ukraine,” the MFA said in the document, adding that the deployments of troops within Russia’s own territory “do not and cannot concern the fundamental interests of the United States.” By contrast, Russia said, the US and its NATO allies have expanded their military infrastructure eastward, violating both the 1990 Treaty on Conventional Forces in Europe (CFE) and the 1997 Founding Act on Mutual Relations, Cooperation and Security between Russia and NATO. Moscow insists on the withdrawal “of all US armed forces and weapons deployed in Central and Eastern Europe, Southeastern Europe, and the Baltics.”

4. Russia maintains NATO’s open doors policy violates Russian security.

While the US remains committed to NATO’s policy of “open doors” – not ruling out admission of any country that applies to the alliance – Moscow noted that this violates the commitments NATO made in June 1991, to not endanger legitimate interests of other states or create new lines of division in Europe.

It also clashes with the principle of indivisibility of security which the US committed to under the treaties that established the Organization for European Security Cooperation (OSCE), namely to “not to enhance their security at the expense of the security of others,” in Russia’s view. “We call on the US and NATO to return to their international obligations in the sphere of supporting peace and security,” the MFA said. “We expect from the alliance specific proposals on the form and content of legal guarantees that NATO will not expand further to the east.”

5. Moscow wants indivisible security for all not just NATO.

Washington needs to demonstrate it actually believes in the principle of indivisible security, Moscow argued, accusing the US of refusing to give up its “counterproductive and destabilizing course” of seeking advantages for itself and its allies at the expense of Russian security interests, while threatening Russia’s borders. In Moscow’s view, the right of countries to “freely choose or change their security arrangements, including entering alliances,” which the US cites, is not absolute, but is only half the formula contained in existing European security treaties. The document points out that Washington keeps omitting the second half, about not enhancing one’s own security at the expense of others.

6. No nukes in Europe from NATO.

There was no answer to the Russian proposal to stop deploying nuclear weapons outside one’s own territory – something the US has repeatedly done with NATO allies, in violation of the nuclear non-proliferation treaty (NPT), the MFA said. Such weapons are currently deployed in the territory of several NATO members and are capable of targeting Russia

Moscow insists they must be withdrawn, the infrastructure for quickly redeploying them to Europe dismantled, and NATO must stop training non-nuclear members in the handling of such weapons. “Without the removal of this irritant, discussion on the topic of non-strategic nuclear weapons is impossible,” Russia said

7. Violation of red lines may lead to military-technical response.

The US and NATO are increasing their military activity on Russia’s borders while ignoring Moscow’s “red lines” and fundamental security interests, the MFA said, describing the situation as a “cause for alarm.” Russia described ultimatums and threats of sanctions as “unacceptable” and said they undermine the chances of reaching actual diplomatic agreements. Since the US is not prepared to discuss firm and legally binding guarantees of Russian security, Moscow will be forced to respond, including “through the implementation of measures of a military-technical nature,” the MFA said.

United States and NATO occupation in eastern Europe is clearly the foundation of the lingering military standoff between two nuclear powers – the United  States and Russia.

United States taxpayers are footing the bulk of NATO operation. The issue was brought to Europe’s attention by former President Donald Trump much to domestic political opponents and their European counterparts ire and criticism. The United Stared military bases around the world are close to nearly 1000 adding to phenomenal defense expenditure with American citizens burdened in sovereign debt.

In reality, the conventional warfare has shifted from ground to air, cyber and biological weapons like the global pandemic paralyzing health and economy in massive magnitude.

Furthermore, the purpose of nuclear status is increasingly proven an economic liability in maintenance and modernization. The nuclear prowess is claimed by nuclear states as defense mechanism in deterrence and not defiance. The nuclear stock piles among nuclear and non- nuclear nations’ possessions as defacto partners like with NATO exacerbate vulnerability in any region.

Overall, nuclear world endanger life, environment, global peace and security. No climate treaty is meaningful and effective alongside nuclear race and nuclear threats bringing nations to the brink of nuclear confrontation. The scenario has risen in the Cuban missile crises demanding reason and rationale to prevail at that time. The world has no option but to commit and begin nuclear disarmament without exception in clear transparency. The nuclear war would only make the world go blind. Such possibilities must be eliminated at all costs for there will be no winners and critically no survivors either to express regrets or rejoice the annihilation despite the latter bizarre response.

Russia’s security expectations as a sovereign nation is fair and reasonable. At the same time, Russia’s assurance exemplified in action providing synonymous sense of security, recognition of sovereignty and territorial integrity of nations near and far viz. Ukraine, Georgia, Azerbaijan and any former Soviet republics or for that matter the Russian naval base Tartus, Syria is imperative. Any form of occupation gaining sovereign jurisdiction such as in Tartus, Syria creates speculations on real intention with or without the occupied territories approval for their interim safety and national as well as regional security. In other words, occupation of foreign territory by any nation at any given time or prolonged period is violation of sovereignty and territorial integrity.

Russia in the domestic front moving towards republic elected and represented democracy is pertinent in realization of Russian citizens’ political rights to elect government and head of the state in a free and fair election. The election would be democratic only upon free access to political contenders of people’s choice to contest in local and national election without being denied participation and subject to any form of hostility and extremities such as imprisonment in the absence of fair trial. These are significant milestones for Russia, a nation that has come a long way with Russian citizens yet to experience true democracy.

Western democracy on the other hand prefers and support those so-called democracies obliging western foreign and economic policy that are designed to favor them and none other. The democratic systems exercising independence in terms of trading partners and economic viability are removed from governance or punished with economic sanctions – the convenient tool to isolate nations not in agreement with west on western policy.

The case in point is Ukraine in 2014. Then incumbent President Viktor Yanukovich choosing neighbor Russia for economic deals was not tolerated by EU prompting the violent coup d’etat with United States leading the insurrection against Ukrainian government in 2014.

The western democracy intolerance came to light in the wake of former German Navy Vice Admiral Kay-Achim Schoenbach comments on Russian President Vladimir Putin deserving respect and Crimea not winnable for Ukraine. The German Navy Chief had to resign for personal opinion on international matter.

Western democracy is debatable on all these grounds for not standing by the real democratic values and people’s choice leadership and government anywhere. On the contrary, the western initiated and instigated overthrow of democratic governments are prominent thus far. The western democracy paradoxical paradigm undermine democracy in nations enabling fundamentalism and other types of authoritarianism.

The unequivocal fact is governments are run by oligarchs regardless of the political system being democratic or not in the world. The European World Economic Forum, Secret Society originating from Bavaria, Germany and Bilderberg in Netherlands, World Health Organization debacle on the global pandemic, Swiss banks sheltering illegal money from anywhere fostering and fomenting corruption – the root cause behind developing nations hindrance in pervasive economic growth and development. These are few among several examples confirming conspicuous flaws in western democracy.

United States and NATO honoring Russia’s legitimate security interests with evacuation of NATO presence in eastern Europe and abandoning political and military interference in Ukraine and other states in that region would facilitate democracy and stability.

Europe n the second quarter of twenty first century is at the crossroads to migrate from military aggression via NATO against Russia to forge economic relations with Russia crucially in the energy sector given the geographic location and proximity. After all, when the war is over at some point in time, the economic priorities would have to be met somehow for existence. The choice between military incursions via NATO against Russia and economic benefits in energy and other trades from Russia could not be hard for Europe facing aging population and volatile economic prospects in the energy dependent manufacturing sector.

The western concept of globalized economy is contradictory to isolation, alienation and segregation policy that are proved counterproductive more than ever.

The relation between United States and Russia must improve in good faith and mutual trust as two equal, sensible and militarily sensitive partners pledged to denuclearization paving way for global peace, unity and harmony protecting humanity and environment not harming any life on earth. United States and NATO pursuing democratic and diplomatic means with Russia is prudent and promising in establishing permanent peace deal.

Above all, it is incumbent upon every nation to save the planet from peril averting danger from nuclear force, bio weapons and any other treacherous strategy against anyone anywhere in the world.

May peace and tranquility triumph for humanity progress and prosperity.

God bless humanity and the world at large.

Thank you.

Padmini Arhant

Author & Presenter

PadminiArhant.com

Prakrithi.PadminiArhant.com

Russia – Caving to Western Pressure on Invasion

February 22, 2022

Russia – Caving to Western Pressure on Invasion

Padmini Arhant

The weakness in leadership demonstrated in situations to submit to foreign pressure and that too for an adversarial action like invasion is promoted and the leadership fails to prove otherwise. The will to resist and reject opponent’s expectations severely lacking and moving ahead with aggression and occupation under any pretext as peacekeepers etc. knowing the ill-consequences is vulnerability at peak. 

Russia is walking into the trap that Iraqi President Saddam Hussein did in 1990 with invasion of Kuwait. The west justified subsequent actions against Iraq and President Saddam Hussein based on then Iraqi President’s fatal error. 

The western media and politics heavily invested in baiting and betting on war ever committed in establishing their stance right predominantly at the expense of loss of innocent lives and economic carnage worldwide. 

What a way to exhibit might and dominance amid madness and proclivity to destructive course misguiding individual and collective mind? 

Russia’s further encroachment on Ukraine’s territory would only strengthen western and eastern alliance via NATO creating the reverse on security interests for Russia. The results would neither favor Russia’s security matter nor benefit western Europe on energy and economy. 

Regardless the presentation on NATO – Russia topic will be presented as stated earlier. 

Padmini Arhant 

Author & Presenter

PadminiArhant.com

Prakrithi.PadminiArhant.com 

Ukraine – Donbas Russian Force

February 21, 2022

Ukraine – Donbas Russian Force 

Padmini Arhant

The latest move from Russian Federation authorizing Russian force claimed as peacekeepers in Donetsk and Luhansk in Donbas region, the situation in semblance with Crimea in 2014 is an unnecessary engagement.  Additionally, recognizing the two Ukrainian territories as free republics is counterproductive for Russia and importantly the standoff with NATO. 

The Russian Federation while seeking NATO evacuation from eastern Europe, conducting these maneuvers on the sidelines in direct violation of Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity is least helpful for Russia. The activities declared as Russian outreach to ethnic Russians and pro-Russian separatists further exacerbate division and unrest in the volatile region. 

The Russian President Vladimir Putin honoring Russia’s commitment stated in the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA) – the public press release on February 17, 2022 categorically stating on Russia’s position not to invade Ukraine. 

“Moscow insists that there is no “Russian invasion” of Ukraine, nor are there any plans for one.”

However, the statements in public or private exemplified in action and maintained without wavering in stance ruling out any form of invasion and occupation of Ukraine including Donbas region – the eastern Ukraine is critical in negotiations on any agreements with NATO and Ukraine. 

The issues in Donbas region – the eastern Ukraine is Ukrainian responsibility. The external interference from Russia, NATO or elsewhere would only foment violence and escalate tensions that are best avoided in the current environment. 

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Kiev direct involvement with the separatists and other factions via peaceful dialogue and peacekeeping strategy would avert any requirement from neighboring Russia to intervene in Ukrainian affair. 

Russia’s ability to contain any voluntary movement into Ukrainian territory would be beneficial and effective in protecting Russian security interests from NATO alliance in eastern Europe. 

The NATO – Russia permanent peace deal will be presented in due course. 

Padmini Arhant 

Author & Presenter 

PadminiArhant.com

Prakrithi.PadminiArhant.com 

Ukraine – Russia Peace Treaty

February 18, 2022

Update: February 21, 2022.

The much anticipated thorough and comprehensive NATO – Russia permanent peace deal will be presented and published later in the day.

As promised, the Ukraine – Russia permanent peace treaty will be delivered next in the order of priority.

The patience from all sides is much appreciated.

Thank you.

Padmini Arhant 

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Bulletin : The bomb blast reported in the news in Donbas region – Luhansk and Donetsk is regrettable and reprehensible. The forces behind such violence could never be anyone’s well wishers or represent peace and solidarity to defuse the volatile situation.

Such activities prompt Crimea like circumstances to leave territory. These incidents by no means are productive and contrarily fuel tension as well as unnecessary provocation. 

Ukraine authority vigilance and effective peaceful non-violent measures to maintain law and order in these two areas is essential to avert out of control unrest.

The foreign intrusions from anywhere creating chaos intercepted and denied access in Donbas region is the preliminary step towards security for citizens in eastern Ukraine. Ukraine government lapses in safety and security of citizens in Donbas would recreate 2014 Crimea event that are obviously not desirable for Ukraine.

In other developments, the United States State Department headed by Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov meeting scheduled later this week in Europe to discuss the Ukraine crisis is positive and provides opportunity to exchange views from both sides to end the standoff.

As stated in the article below, the comprehensive resolution details for Ukraine – Russia and NATO – Russia will be presented shortly.

Padmini Arhant 

——————————————————————————-

Ukraine – Russia Peace Treaty 

Padmini Arhant

The eagerness to start a war via sensationalized media reporting and political rhetoric is old and repetitive – the practice best laid to rest once and for all now and in the future. 

As stated earlier on this topic, the disagreement mainly involves Russia and NATO over security threats from one another with Ukraine used as the battleground. The strategy from either side is unreasonable and inappropriate. 

Again as explained earlier, NATO representing the United States and European Union supply of modern artillery to Ukraine in recent weeks is contradictory to public statement on peace and diplomacy required to ease tensions on the ground. 

Russian Federation on the other hand declaring no interest or intention to invade Ukraine while still procrastinating on troop withdrawal from Ukraine and Russia border all around exacerbate speculations on alleged invasion. Notwithstanding the status quo along the border provides fodder for western media and anti-Russian factions in the west to promote propaganda. 

The Russian Federation issues with NATO regarding NATO incursions in eastern Europe and NATO alliance against Russia as explained earlier merit consideration to de-escalate mutual security threats in the region. 

With respect to Ukraine and Russia – the Minsk agreement in 2015 is not agreeable to Ukraine much to Russia’s disappointment. Ukraine’s position is equally important as Russia’s in order to enforce the Minsk agreement or any new accord. The matter will be revisited and presented in detail shortly. 

Meanwhile, it is incumbent upon NATO and Russia to acknowledge Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity that are not apparent in the current development. 

NATO’s role in the ongoing situation is strange having openly stated to Ukraine to defend itself upon any Russian invasion claiming NATO or United States forces will not fight Ukraine war. At the same time flooding Ukraine with western artillery against Russia serves as provocation rather than mitigation that is critical now. 

Russia’s interpretation of western arms delivery to Ukraine is directly related to eastern Ukraine – the donbas region. The pro-Russian separatists in this part of Ukraine recent ceasefire with Ukrainian government hardly allowed to prevail by forces desperately seeking war at all costs regardless of dire consequences in such engagement. 

The latest report from western media about false flag operation in donbas region citing a kindergarten with two members injured is precisely kind of scenarios produced to instigate violence in any areas vulnerable to political and social unrest in that country. 

The western media projection is false flag events would originate from Russia to implicate Ukrainian authority having authorized violence against pro-Russian separatists faction in eastern Ukraine. 

Russia maintains the western high grade military arsenal export to Ukraine is to aid Ukrainian authority to use force against pro-Russian members in eastern Ukraine leading to full scale warfare. 

The west and Russia’s lack of trust against each other highlight misplaced focus on both sides when the major powers should expend resources and diplomatic means to end present stalemate. 

The citizens in Ukraine, Russia and the rest of the world have suffered enough and still experiencing the global pandemic caused health and economic effects.

The world spared from any more crises such as the potential war in Ukraine is the least the leaders in the west, NATO, Russia and Ukraine could do with divestment in peace and not peril as propagated in the western media as – ‘the moment of peril.’

The topic will be presented further with comprehensive resolution on Ukraine – Russia peace treaty, NATO – Russia permanent security deal in due course. 

Padmini Arhant 

Author & Presenter

PadminiArhant.com

Prakrithi.PadminiArhant.com 

War Facts – NATO v. Russia

February 12, 2022

War Facts

NATO v. Russia 

Padmini Arhant

War is deadly. War is costly and naturally ugly.

Once drawn into war, the repercussions are far worse than any reason behind involvement in warfare.

There are no winners in war except deadliest consequences affecting those on the ground and worldwide in economic ramifications beginning with rising energy price having chain reaction on travel, food and consumer products and services that are already fairly high due to inflation.

In the usual United States media hype on NATO v. Russia with Ukraine unfairly and unfortunately caught in between the unnecessary standoff, the Russian invasion is anticipated from the other side i.e. the NATO and anti- Russian sentiments in the west.

Ukraine’s disposition is commendable to remain calm and yet be prepared for any event.

The Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky advising Ukrain forces and citizens not to submit to panic is the right approach in such situation. At the same time, the focus on peaceful negotiation and discourse continuing alongside with Moscow and pro-Russian groups in the Donbass region, eastern Ukraine is key to mitigate the crisis.

Ukraine’s understanding that United States and NATO are not committed to fight for Ukraine from Ukraine as publicly made clear by United States administration and NATO is a good reason for Ukraine to maintain the resolve in averting any form of aggression from anywhere.

Russia on the other hand knowing the western strategy well are wise not to attack its neighbor Ukraine with Russian speaking population living in the eastern and other parts of Ukraine. Even otherwise, Russia is a seasoned player in warfare having been in the game far too long. Accordingly, the Russian forces would not be expended at huge economic liability besides loss of lives in the minor or protracted engagement.

Russian President Vladimir Putin is well aware not to lead Russia into a deadly war front resulting in massive casualties on both sides prompting NATO to move against Russia under the pretext of NATO protecting its allies in eastern bloc.

Importantly, Russia is experienced and perceptive not to fall for western media and politics drumroll, the provocation and propaganda similar to Iraq prior to invasion of the oil rich state. The false narratives played repeatedly against Iraq was Saddam Hussein in possession of chemical weapons which was proved false and a major deception by the aggressors.

This time around, the west hawkish faction and anti-Russian rhetoric claim on Russia’s imminent invasion of Ukraine setting dates debunked much to self-embarrassment. Again these activities are in sync with the old habits die hard.

Russia is also savvy not to invite preventable economic woes that are critical more than the ongoing NATO incursion in eastern Europe.

President Vladimir Putin awareness on economic costs for Russia in the prolonged troop deployment and alternatively advancing against Ukraine would deter any such action.

Furthermore, Russia not providing any opportunity for own economic decline and initiating amicable peaceful resolution with Ukraine forging good economic, cultural and political ties with the neighbor is in best interests of both Russia, Ukraine and eastern Europe.

Peace to Ukraine and Russia permeating in eastern Europe.

Padmini Arhant

Author & Presenter

PadminiArhant.com

Prakrithi.PadminiArhant.com

Russia – Ukraine Peace Agreement

February 2, 2022

Russia – Ukraine 

Peace Agreement 

Reaction

Padmini Arhant

This article highlighting the sensibility and sensitivity to address the Ukraine crisis has received positive response and overwhelming majority believe in the peaceful resolution with a permanent peace deal between Russia and Ukraine like elaborated in this publication.

However, a small minority as always on any issue unwilling to acknowledge factual information and reality.

Certain U.S. lawmakers in the Senate along with usual critics in the media and those with guilty conscience resigned to dismissal citing none other than them have the authority or say on any matter emphasizing their power as decision makers is least surprising.

The minority members also hopefully realize that power comes with responsibility.

The decision-making especially related to military or economic warfare via sanctions, the consequences are also on them in terms of humanitarian, regional and global security crises in the aftermath of such authorization.

The comments on Russia’s annexation of Crimea, occupation of Syria and now troops deployment around Ukraine emanate from western and allies intrusions in Ukraine, Syria and worldwide.

This is not about pro-Russian or anti-Russian stance. It’s all about cause and effect reflecting reason and reality in the international affairs.

The western involvement in insurrection against then democratic Ukraine resulted in the Crimean territorial union with the Russian Federation in 2014.

Similarly, the western and middle eastern alliance against Syria led to Russian forces arrival later in Syria. The Syrian situation was already in shambles from western and middle eastern coalition behind the controversial Arab Spring falsely created to finish the unfinished tasks on the pre-meditated Project for New American century.

Again the exclusive views among few members in the United States politics asserting the United States right to meddle not only in Europe but in any part of the world is presumptuous and ill-conceived disposition.

Such positions exemplify carte blanche authority in the United States political ranks having little or no respect for other nations’ sovereignty, those nations’ citizens right to self-determination and independent status of those countries around the world.

Often the lack of respect for other nations and citizens sovereign right promotes such opinions on warfare and aggression including economic sanctions.

Here is the legitimate question.

It is well established and widely proven that Iraq war in 2003 was waged on false premise on the never founded alleged chemical weapons in Iraq.

Are there any Senators and United States members of Congress in the House who voted for Iraq war in 2003 prepared to come forward and accept responsibility for the decimation of a foreign nation leaving millions of Iraqis dead, many displaced and overwhelming population made to flee the deadly war zone besides the middle east region experiencing the quagmire of Iraq war until now?

What about the Iraq and Afghanistan war veterans from the United States defense force returned home with missing body parts, physically, mentally and emotionally traumatized and significant members as homeless left to fend for themselves in American cities nationwide?

Any lawmakers earlier exercising their power as sole decision makers and authorized the illegal invasion and occupation of foreign land prepared to pledge financial support to the victims of warfare?

The power primarily represented as authority and discretion mostly used as privilege is misinterpreted and misused in the absence of discernment.

War is not the answer to any or all political disagreements. The peace and diplomacy pursued sincerely could guarantee success benefitting all.

Padmini Arhant

Author & Presenter

PadminiArhant.com

Prakrithi.PadminiArhant.com

—————————————————————————————————————————————————

Russia – Ukraine

Peace Agreement

Padmini Arhant

The latest development between Ukraine government and pro-Russian separatists in eastern Ukraine reaching an agreement to preserve ceasefire is a welcoming gesture for all citizens in eastern and western Ukraine as one nation. The ceasefire also provides relief to neighboring Russia as well as eastern Europe.

As for the standoff between Russia and the western counterparts i.e. the European Union and the United States in particular, the NATO expansion near and around Russia is obviously the bone of contention for the Russian federation. No nation in the modern age should either pose any threat or be threatened by any other nation individually or collectively near or far.

Russia’s concerns with NATO presence at the doorstep as a direct security problem is not unreasonable.

The revival of cold war tensions prompting all sides on eternal alert with military readiness not barring nuclear alarm is not the choice in the contemporary era or in the future. There is an urgency to reverse situation to normal. The major nuclear powers i.e. the United States and allies together with Russia’s unanimous acknowledgment to shift from military position to active fruitful diplomacy is the need of the hour from several dimensions viz. the regional and global security standpoint, preventing unnecessary loss of civilian and defense personnel precious lives and averting serious economic liability in the prolonged standoff.

The western maneuver to surround Russia with NATO forces impetus Russian defense mechanism and other military strategy to protect territorial integrity as sovereign right. Simultaneously Russia’s troop deployment and military assets across Ukraine and Russia border including the northern side on Belarus sends a wrong message contradictory to Russia’s public statement on the political decision to de-escalate situation.

Russia’s military troops distribution around Ukraine in the aftermath of Russia and western representatives unsuccessful meeting on NATO withdrawal from Russian boundary and eastern bloc creates undesirable predicament for the citizens in Ukraine and Russia. The civilians and armed forces on both sides are forced into the conflation adding complexity to the otherwise containable crisis. There is a requirement on all sides to pull back from the current military position and engage in peaceful negotiations.

Why Russia’s current military plan is inimical to Russia in many facets?

The western thought on Russia’s earlier invasion and annexation of Crimea from Ukraine’s eastern peninsula in 2014 is the result of NATO further expansion in the region.

However, Russia’s explanation on Crimea is arguably otherwise. Russia citing Russian speaking citizens in Crimea fleeing their home town due to unrest erupting from western authorized violence in maidan square and subsequent government removal in Kiev in 2014 led to the pro-Russian separatists movement that are still prevalent in the eastern Donbas region in Ukraine.

The majority Russian speaking Crimean population then seeking the territory union with Russian Federation in the local referendum at that time led to the annexation.

In fact, “On 11 April 2014, the parliament of Crimea approved a new constitution, with 88 out of 100 lawmakers voting in favor of its adoption. The new constitution confirms the Republic of Crimea as a democratic state within the Russian Federation and declares both territories united and inseparable.”

Regardless, the western stance is Russia’s aggressive takeover of Crimea is unacceptable and accordingly Crimea not recognized as Russia’s territory by the west until now.

The truth lies somewhere in between on both sides of the argument. There is no doubt that NATO buildup in eastern Europe reaching Russia’s nearest territorial border i.e. Ukraine becoming the western target in 2014 and thereafter is the fundamental cause of the present crisis.

The western involved insurrection in 2014 continued with hostile overthrow of democratically elected then incumbent government of President Viktor Yanukovych fleeing for life and sought political refuge in Russia. The anti-democratic event held on global watch in 2014.

The intensive western influence and installation of Ukrainian governments not barring neo-nazi representation post western insurrection launched in Kiev in 2014 fomented internal economic and political strife for Ukrainians paying the price till date.

The ground reality in Ukraine in 2014 paved the way for Russia to seize opportunity to annex Crimea, undeniably the key strategic location for Russian naval base in the Black sea.

The Crimean republic joining the Russian federation might have been a major windfall for Russian defense strategy. Nevertheless, the territorial gain has not been without consequences for Russia. The western perspective on Crimea remains the compelling factor to increase NATO alliance against Russia with Ukraine as the rolling dice to perform to western demand on the other hand proved counterproductive so far.

Additionally, the western NATO extension also largely connected to the past with former nuclear Soviet Union sprawling authority over entire eastern Europe including the Balkan states and central Asia. Not to mention the liberation of east Germany with the removal of Berlin wall that separated the German territory from then west Germany not in a distant memory serve as the reminder in preventing history from repeating itself again.

The exSoviet Union quest for territorial conquest was not limited to central and eastern Europe. The desire to acquire more power and landmass misled the former Soviet Union to invade and occupy Afghanistan having centralized power in that part of the world i.e. Central Asia comprising Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan and Tajikistan were annexed as the independent republics under Soviet central command and economy. The Soviet adventure in Afghanistan was catastrophic for the occupied Afghans as well as the occupier Soviet Union i.e. USSR with United States and Afghan mujahideen led battle resulting in Soviet withdrawal from Afghan soil.

Anything too big to control and manage eventually disintegrates with severe impact on the origin and in this instance Russia and Russians suffered significant economic, political and military setbacks that were inevitable. Once Soviet Union was debilitated in Afghan war, the house of cards crumbling on the Soviet empire followed sequentially with no option but to accept the reality i.e. Russia returning to home base to get the house in order that was in disarray in semblance with contemporary situation. There is a serious and important lesson to learn for Russian political leaderships from Russian history in the twentieth and twenty first century.

The equivalent of present dynamics in western and Russian stalemate regarding Ukraine is 1991 Kuwait invasion by then Iraq President Saddam Hussein. The miscalculated error from then Iraqi President Saddam Hussein failed to recognize the Kuwait trail was nothing more than a bait or decoy that trapped the once United States ally Iraqi President Saddam Hussein into  wanton invasion of Kuwait. Little knowing that Iraqi President Saddam Hussein’s grave mistake set the track for the United States neo-conservatives and zionists as hawkish strategists to utilize that Iraqi invasion of Kuwait against Iraq later in 2003. Though the hawkish strategists used chemical weapons against Iraq as the convincing narrative in the United Nations to win general consensus on the illegal invasion of Iraq in 2003.

The United States and NATO attack on Iraq in 2003 implementing the pre-meditated and long anticipated Project for New American Century (PNAC) with Iraq among several crucial middle eastern, north African and central Asian nations such as Afghanistan on the card for the US and NATO brutal aggression witnessed worldwide. The United States and NATO warfare in these regions are yet to cease with direct and indirect weapons supply and logistic support delivered to nations in perpetual conflict such as to Saudi Arabia against Yemen and other factions in Libya, Syria, Lebanon and other groups engaged in perpetual confrontation.

The history is testament in this regard.

All said and done, the irrefutable fact is Russia’s contribution in the world stage in maintaining the balance of power in twentieth century in World War 1 and World War 2 is praiseworthy. Russia is a powerful nation with tremendous experience in glory and upheavals throughout history.

The Russian power is best enhanced in establishing democracy at home alongside peace and unity with neighbors like Ukraine and the rest of eastern Europe as well as central Asia. Russia’s commitment to sovereignty, independence and territorial integrity in the region and outside exemplified in permanent peace deal with Ukraine would preempt solidarity and renew normal ties with the neighbor across the border.

The idea of invasion and conquering nations near and far In the hope of revival of former empire status is obsolete and critically excruciating failure known up until now. The imperial and colonial quest drain the domestic economy with skyrocketing sovereign debt burdened on every man, woman and child including the ones yet to be born in the world.

The United States is classic example in this context. The invasion and occupation of foreign land in Afghanistan, Iraq and other parts of the world costing American taxpayers in trillions and the war veterans ending as homeless dwelling under the bridge and downtown areas in major American cities is heart wrenching sight.

Similarly, the nations under attack and occupied by major powers exhibiting military might and exhausting defense stockpiles are rendered refugees in their homeland. The population in these war torn nations are denied access to basic survival at home and neither accepted as political refugees in the aggressors’ land. The world has seen these events far too many times and still ongoing in many regions predominantly due to the misguided Superpower glamor equipped with nuclear status rejecting the adverse ramifications of such indulgence.

Russia’s current position as publicly clarified by the political leadership President Vladimir Putin  ruling out invasion of Ukraine is welcome. The statement delivered in action by pulling the Russian troops back from Ukrainian boundary all around would be credible. The Russian positive steps in this respect would build reliable trust among citizens in Ukraine and international community.

Instead, the Russian political decision to surround Ukraine militarily as negotiation tool with the west on NATO incursion against Russia is basically aggravating the problem rather than resolving the issue. The actions always verify the intent than words in all matter.

Now the United States, European Union, the European Commission combined as the western front are in requirement to tone down the rhetoric on anti-Russian information fueling the dilemma. The western conditions and rules of engagement with a nuclear Russia seated at the UNSC as a permanent member with veto power deserve careful approach and respectful exchange synonymous to vice versa expectations from the west with Russia. The western policy using NATO to leverage against Russia upon being replicated by the latter through military armament against Ukraine is interestingly not appreciated.

The nation right at the center and primary victim in the entire western power versus Russian disagreement is Ukraine. The western and Russian equation comprising Ukraine as the constant factor would invariably yield negative result to both sides that are obviously beneficial to none especially Ukraine held hostage in the crisis.

The European Commission. public offer on economic package to Ukraine to the tune of 2 billion euros in three installments with a first one in the amount 1.2 billion euro followed by 600 million in the second and 200 million as the third installment payment could be very enticing for any economically struggling nation.

Unfortunately, the economic bargain on sovereignty of a nation in the present time appears to have been reduced to mere two billion or so in price tag. The economic incentive from European Commission upon being extended to Ukraine as unconditional monetary aid i.e. no obligation on Ukraine’s part to join NATO considering that is one of the issue for Russia in the national security concern, the economic deal would be more appropriate.

Alternatively, the European Commission or European Union returning the illegal funds held in tax shelters in Europe, the money transferred from corruption deals in Ukraine among oligarchy and other members within and outside Ukraine depriving Ukraine citizens the economic development in the country would be equitable.

Either way, the EU through EC providing economic assistance without any pressure or coercion on Ukraine to compromise national sovereignty by not having to be a NATO ally or submit to western geopolitical goals would be honorable.

Ukraine spared from traditional divide and conquer strategy familiar in the imperial past and present would be a new chapter in the era. The financial relief to the battered Ukrainian economy primarily due to foreign intrusions and corruption in domestic system is imperative more than anything else.

Russia and Ukraine working together in reconciling differences to mitigate the military interventions from all sides beginning with Russian forces retreat and NATO confinement away from Russian and neighboring territory is the path to peaceful settlement in the current stalemate in eastern Europe.

The peaceful resolution of Ukraine crisis is in the best interest of all parties and above all the regional stability anywhere in the world is tied to global peace and security.

The overzealous and capricious policy on international affairs has been unfavorable and perpetuated the impasse.

Hence all parties are urged to prioritize human lives, economic costs, sovereignty, self-determination of nations and territorial integrity in mutual respect and recognition of individual nations, regional and world peace.

Your attention and interest is much appreciated.

Thank you.

Padmini Arhant

Author & Presenter

PadminiArhant.com

Prakrithi.PadminiArhant.com

Russian Affair

November 4, 2017

Russian Affair

Padmini Arhant

The former FBI director Robert Mueller headed special investigation dominates news on the alleged Russian meddling in the United States 2016 Presidential election.

The special committee targeting then Republican Presidential candidate now elected President Donald Trump’s campaign aides and members’ presumed interaction and meetings with key Russian officials has led to recent indictments on this matter.

The U.S. actions besides the ongoing inquiry includes closing consulate general in San Francisco and annexes in Washington and New York.

Russia in turn has responded by reducing diplomatic service staff at U.S. facilities in Moscow as confirmed by Washington based Russia Today (RT) television network.

Russia Today – the state funded network founded by the state owned news agency RIA-NOVOSTI in 2005 is dedicated in promoting Russian government interests to the likes of mainstream media and others in the U.S. and elsewhere safeguarding oligarchy, political and Secret Society agenda.  

Although RT claims the network is independent, any business especially communication media receiving funding that has surged from $30 million in the beginning to current $300 million from the state obviously inclined to be subjective rather than objective.

RT projecting Russian image to counteract U.S. media versions about Russia and Russian policy is a conundrum for viewers having to deal with two extremes from both sides i.e. one for and the other against amidst missing facts from the content regardless.

On propaganda, RT efforts are on par with prevalent media trend in hyperbole and falsehood in presentation of historic events and entities pertaining to the past and present time conforming to syndicate strategy.

RT transmission in three languages viz. English, Spanish and Arabic attracting 120 million viewership in the United States and other parts of the world is a buffer to syndicate’s media presence via CNN, Fox and BBC worldwide.

The syndicate’s media control and influence on entertainment industry to deny public access to truth and factual information could be anything but freedom of press and free speech.

RT like counterparts are not without collusion on not maintaining journalistic standards and ethics that are rare and remains under attack. The journalism with accurate reporting, review and analyses on issues and topics concerning lives and world problems are replaced for political and commercial success ignoring harm to society and the world at large that eventually hurts the source.

As such, the citizens fatigue in fake news and indoctrination is evident in broadcasting networks declined rating prompting desperate attempts to avert further deterioration. The spin zone is yet another means to continue mindless discussions lacking in substance in anything goes talk shows and programs to fill in time in the 24/7 media.

United States and Russia relations might have strained due to latest developments,

However, the similarities in both nations policies on critical issues such as voting against nuclear disarmament in the UN vote past month, resistance to dissolution of UNSC granted veto power to five permanent members viz. United States, Britain, Russia, China and France and strengthening ties with Saudi Arabia clarify common goals.

In terms of disagreements, United States and Russia have difference of opinion on Ukraine, Syrian conflict, NATO buildup through Eastern bloc and incursion in Baltic Sea. The U.S. occupation in Afghanistan extended into Central Asia that was previously under former Soviet Union is causing uneasiness on regional basis.

Last but not the least, U.S. sanctions on Russia is not appreciated in the wake of 2016 electoral outcome distressing those for change in game plan.

On North Korea, United States sanctions against the south east Asian nation is welcome by Russia. The reaction confirmed in UNSC decision with Russia and China’s consensus to impose embargo on North Korea.

As stated repeatedly on this website on standoff between U.S and North Korea, the de-escalation via diplomacy and constructive dialogue should be the focus on both sides retracting from respective positions with United States and ally South Korea ceasing military exercise and provocative naval drills in Korean Peninsula.  North Korea on its part to suspend nuclear enhancement.

Furthermore, the major nuclear powers stance on North Korea’s nuclear status would be credible upon them in possession of enormous nuclear stockpiles never subject to independent international scrutiny lead other nuclear and non-nuclear states in safe disposal of nuclear weapons freeing the world from nuclear threats that are frequently exchanged in U.S. and North Korea confrontation. U.S. has also issued nuclear warnings against Iran preceding Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) treaty.

In the domestic front, Russia Today (RT) as state represented media is criticized for not providing opportunity to political opponents to Kremlin power. The same is applied towards any political dissent deprived from sharing thoughts and grievance on air to local and foreign audience. They are apparently considered detractors and accordingly excluded in participation on media channel.

The contemporary practice to debar alternative political perspectives especially with Russian elections on the horizon in March 2018 may not bode well for Russia in the post-communist era declared as democratic system premised on free and fair elections allowing contenders upon meeting eligibility criteria to run for office.

Then the incident though eleven years ago involving independent journalist, writer and human rights activist Anna Politkovskaya tragic death from gunshot wounds in Moscow in 2006 deter Russian democratic evolution.

The free society would create and nurture environment to question authorities without fear of incarceration, character defamation or danger to their life. The country as vast as Russia with enormous potential in different fields not barring politics would benefit from eclectic representation that could permeate across the spectrum. The transformation is made possible with healthy debates and public forums on all topics relevant to citizens in the province and national level.

Russia’s membership in BRICS, Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) in addition to G20 and WTO serve economic prospects. On security to combat terrorism and any foreign intrusion – the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) comprising Russia and former Soviet republics in Central Asia enable neutralization.

Russian economy, political stability and national security are general expectations amongst electorate. Russia’s role in international disputes are also important whether personally that entails skirmishes at Russian border with NATO or tension related to U.S. and North Korea as well as ending Syrian warfare.

The internal challenges like corruption undermining real progress, Chechnya seeking resolution, immigration and social dilemmas are prominent woes requiring effective measures.

Russia is in the threshold of economic growth and constraints on political choices limits the scope for broader vision necessary to sustain expansion.

Finally, vox populithe voice of the people from all walks of life exercising the right to express views or concerns and journalism in particular not confined to state or external orientation would demonstrate vibrant democracy.

I convey my best wishes to citizens in Russia.

Peace to all!

Thank you.

Padmini Arhant

Author & Presenter PadminiArhant.com

Spouse in Divine Mission

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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