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Politics Failure in Ending Wars

November 10, 2023

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Ukraine War

December 12, 2022

Ukraine War

Padmini Arhant

Update: Whenever war is waged with no political will to end the carnage predominantly for personal and vested reasons among which image consciousness is a dominant factor, the important outcomes such as casualties in human lives extended into tragedies and generational struggles for veterans, families and the country at large besides economic liabilities are completely ignored in the incessant military engagement.

The scenario is standard in most wars and Ukraine is not unique in that respect.

However, there is light at the end of tunnel for all those involved in this warfare.

The saving grace for all parties are as follows:

Russia holding the strings in the military showdown that began in February 2022 is concerned about complete withdrawal though partial retreat and troops pull back witnessed in the past few months attributed to Ukrainian resistance and formidable response to Russian conventional intrusion.

The troops draw down and de-escalation is viewed by Russian leadership especially President Vladimir Putin as political setback in the domestic and international front with impact on Russian role in the region and global sphere.

On the contrary, the take away achievements for Russia and Ukraine are fairly impressive and noteworthy. The major powers on their part such as the United States and EU differences highlighted requiring remedial measures for Europe to assume bulk responsibility in self-defense and security via appropriate monetary and military contribution through investments moving forward.

Russia Attainments:

1. Russian aim was to restrain NATO presence near Russian borders i.e. stave off Ukraine as NATO and EU member against Russia.

The Russian goal is attained in this regard with Ukraine fighting the war on their turf without NATO direct indulgence on the ground albeit weapons and logistics provisions reached Ukraine from the United States and selective NATO allies to contain the war within Ukraine – Russia geographical constraints preventing conflagration beyond Ukraine.

2.Russian achievement in other aspects are  – EU dependency on Russian energy supply even in the critical time of disagreement between them i.e. right in the middle of warfare with Ukraine representing EU against Russia.

Notwithstanding EU objection to other nations in the Indian-sub-continent viz. Pakistan and India chastised for energy procurement from Russia at the onset and ongoing invasion amid own (EU) trade dealings beginning with energy and wheat etc. with Russia throughout and until the present time.

3. NATO precluded from Russian territory whether on NATO volition or Russian intervention in Ukraine regardless. Although the matter could have been addressed by United States and NATO allies heeding Russia’s initial requests and invitation for amicable strategic conflict resolutions.

The Russian outreach until Russian invasion of Ukraine was not paid attention to mitigate relevant strategic problems by the responsible sides leading to further rift in Russia and western relations. Notably NATO dominance in the Baltic and Black sea was definitely unwelcome to Russia.

NATO having assessed regional and global ramifications in the aftermath of Russian invasion of Ukraine, the decision refraining from war with Russia was wise and prudent considering the grave consequences of nuclear powers in the battle.

Ukraine Accomplishments:

1. Ukraine forced into warfare against former trainer Russian army with Ukrainian top military brass having experience from the Red Army aka Russian Krasnaya Armiya from the former Soviet era delivered huge benefits and military advantage to Ukraine.

Accordingly, the message to young and older Ukrainian forces is they can defend themselves without EU and NATO badge against militarily larger and nuclear power near and far.

The Russian military performance not meeting expectations is linked to Kremlin’s unjustified political aspirations and yet another issue is the Russian low morale in the war against neighbor Ukraine with families on both sides subject to unnecessary pain and suffering had drastic influence.

Juxtaposed Ukraine defending homeland, sovereignty and relatively new independent status from former Soviet Union impetus resilience and fortitude to save their motherland from foreign aggression and safeguard newly earned individual liberty and freedom.

2. Ukraine defending their territorial rights and sovereignty in the battle field regaining lost land and enclave is firmly established in the year-long armed conflict.

3. Ukraine emerged strong and hopeful in the military warfare is a precedence in nation building with fortified internal security forces prepared to deal with endangerment and threats from anywhere.

Russia and Ukraine having realized respective objectives thus far, the commonality between two neighbors comprising families on both sides ending the war with permanent ceasefire is in best interests of the population of the two nations.

Not to mention the war yielding irreversible loss of lives and disproportionate damage to infrastructure and institutions is extraordinary with restoration and revival of normal existence – an immediate requirement in Ukraine and affected areas in Russia.

Russia and Ukraine in mutual recognition of strength and endowments as two sovereign nations commitment to forge solid economic trade and cultural exchange together with strategic partnership would guarantee peace, progress, prosperity and security in and around the region.

Peace to Ukraine and Russia! 

Padmini Arhant 

Author & Presenter

PadminiArhant.com

Prakrithi.PadminiArhant.com 

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Europe is the biggest beneficiary in this nearly year long battle since Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 early this year.

Reiterating earlier determination and summary in this domain on the origin of Ukraine status quo commenced in 2014 with EU and then United States administration in 2014 launched coup against then democratic government in Kiev, Ukraine is the foundation for the events in Ukraine in 2014 and thereafter until now.

Russian invasion of Ukraine allegedly to curb NATO occupation or intrusion at Russian boundary proved devastating and deadly for Russia and Ukraine with EU as NATO representative fighting the proxy war via Ukraine at U.S.taxpayers’ expense while maintaining energy flow and other economic ties with invader Russia.

There is no doubt EU is having the cake and relishing it in this quagmire without having to spill blood and squander own treasure.

Ukraine despite fighting europe’s war against Russia is declined NATO and EU membership. So much for EU gratitude and acknowledgment of Ukraine’s sacrifice in this entire gamut.

United States on the flip side is accused by EU of profiteering from Ukraine war citing high gas prices, weapons sales and trade in the recent statement from EU commission head Ursula Von der Leyen evading self- responsibility as the primary fire starter in 2014 crying foul over then Ukraine’s democratic government and neighbor Russia normal economic deal.

Neither Ukraine – the fighting force on EU’s behalf enduring loss of lives, economic mayhem due to relentless war seeing no end in sight with Russian President Vladimir Putin denial on fait accompli nor United States accused as profiteer from the war by EU are able to impress upon Europe and EU’s gold standard in particular.

Russia in the middle of this conundrum is deeply entrenched draining own economy and exhausting military maneuvers and strategy to the point of no return.

Above all Ukraine war is costing the rest of the world in arbitrary energy crisis and superficial fuel price hikes not without ripple effects on food, transportation and other essentials with oil producers striking on the hot iron.

EU meanwhile enjoys the status as spectator and critic inheriting the best of both worlds from Ukraine expending lives and livelihoods alongside United States monetizing the affair at U.S.taxpayer liability.

Freebies are nice to certain extent and anything exceeding limit produce inverse results for recipients and the provider.

Overall – Ukraine is defending their sovereignty and reclaiming territories lost in the aftermath of western coup in 2014 facilitating Russian invasion and intervention in the eastern region of the country.

Ukraine is adequately demonstrating their goals in protecting territorial integrity violated by both western powers and Russia until now. The tremendous fight from Ukraine against Russian authority aggression since February 2022 is fought by Ukraine without being EU or NATO member.

EU refusal and reluctance to grant Ukraine EU and NATO formal membership is clear to avert direct confrontation with Russia that is being averted right now using Ukraine.

Russia on the other hand declaring war on Ukraine as war on NATO with economic relations remaining intact between Russia and EU – the NATO ally of the United States. The situation essentially funding the war in reality.

United States per EU assessment – the profiteer in Ukraine war is the bone of contention for all parties including the U.S. taxpayer and consumers bearing the brunt of the protracted warfare.

The experience shared among the global population in energy and related inflation challenging normal existence worldwide is a serious repercussion.

All things must end as nothing could continue for eternity inflicting deaths and destruction proven in every warfare in the previous and present century.

Ukraine war is no exception in this context with inevitable conclusion sooner than later.

Padmini Arhant

Author & Presenter

PadminiArhant.com

Prakrithi.Padminiarhant.com

North Korea – Firing Possible Ballistic Missile

March 4, 2022

North Korea – Firing Possible Ballistic Missile

Padmini Arhant

North Korea firing possibly long range ballistic missile landing in the Sea of Japan on Mar 5, 2022 i.e. Saturday local time is confirmed by Japan’s coastal guards and defense ministry.  South Korea’s Joint Chiefs of Staff has also verified the information to this effect reported by international news agency. 

The latest ballistic missile is stated to be ninth since the beginning of the year 2022.

At whomsoever behest, North Korea has resumed missile launching this year, the ill-advise is best not adhered to in North Korea and the neighbors’ safety and security interests. 

North Korean leader Kim Jong-Un maintaining the peace agreement with partner South Korea and delivering further in sincere efforts to abandon old ways that has brought tremendous pain and suffering to the peace loving citizens in North Korea is critical for the sovereign nation North Korea.

Similar expectations from across the DMZ line in South Korea and near by Japan facing constant threats are to be met by North Korea demonstrating trustworthiness in honoring the peace deal.

The violations from North Korea are unnecessary provocation that are neither helpful nor constructive in negotiations on sanctions relief. 

The ballistic missiles of any kind whether short or long range with nuclear capability are not to be experimented now or in the future by any nuclear states or nuclear aspirants in the world.

The issues are far too many and humanity confronted with enough challenges like the lingering global pandemic and Ukraine crisis among several developments. 

North Korean leader Kim Jong-Un exercising restraint and adopting peaceful approach would exemplify North Korean leadership’s commitment to peace and denuclearization. 

It is never too late to pursue and persevere peace over unnecessary and unwanted confrontation.

The Korean peninsula and South East Asian region deserve tension free environment that has caused enormous barriers in economic trade and activities until recently depriving North Korea long overdue economic growth and development.

The choice is clear between peace leading to progress and prosperity and conflict yielding decline and failure. 

Padmini Arhant

Author & Presenter

PadminiArhant.com

Prakrithi.PadminiArhant.con

Russia – Ukraine Peace Agreement

February 2, 2022

Russia – Ukraine 

Peace Agreement 

Reaction

Padmini Arhant

This article highlighting the sensibility and sensitivity to address the Ukraine crisis has received positive response and overwhelming majority believe in the peaceful resolution with a permanent peace deal between Russia and Ukraine like elaborated in this publication.

However, a small minority as always on any issue unwilling to acknowledge factual information and reality.

Certain U.S. lawmakers in the Senate along with usual critics in the media and those with guilty conscience resigned to dismissal citing none other than them have the authority or say on any matter emphasizing their power as decision makers is least surprising.

The minority members also hopefully realize that power comes with responsibility.

The decision-making especially related to military or economic warfare via sanctions, the consequences are also on them in terms of humanitarian, regional and global security crises in the aftermath of such authorization.

The comments on Russia’s annexation of Crimea, occupation of Syria and now troops deployment around Ukraine emanate from western and allies intrusions in Ukraine, Syria and worldwide.

This is not about pro-Russian or anti-Russian stance. It’s all about cause and effect reflecting reason and reality in the international affairs.

The western involvement in insurrection against then democratic Ukraine resulted in the Crimean territorial union with the Russian Federation in 2014.

Similarly, the western and middle eastern alliance against Syria led to Russian forces arrival later in Syria. The Syrian situation was already in shambles from western and middle eastern coalition behind the controversial Arab Spring falsely created to finish the unfinished tasks on the pre-meditated Project for New American century.

Again the exclusive views among few members in the United States politics asserting the United States right to meddle not only in Europe but in any part of the world is presumptuous and ill-conceived disposition.

Such positions exemplify carte blanche authority in the United States political ranks having little or no respect for other nations’ sovereignty, those nations’ citizens right to self-determination and independent status of those countries around the world.

Often the lack of respect for other nations and citizens sovereign right promotes such opinions on warfare and aggression including economic sanctions.

Here is the legitimate question.

It is well established and widely proven that Iraq war in 2003 was waged on false premise on the never founded alleged chemical weapons in Iraq.

Are there any Senators and United States members of Congress in the House who voted for Iraq war in 2003 prepared to come forward and accept responsibility for the decimation of a foreign nation leaving millions of Iraqis dead, many displaced and overwhelming population made to flee the deadly war zone besides the middle east region experiencing the quagmire of Iraq war until now?

What about the Iraq and Afghanistan war veterans from the United States defense force returned home with missing body parts, physically, mentally and emotionally traumatized and significant members as homeless left to fend for themselves in American cities nationwide?

Any lawmakers earlier exercising their power as sole decision makers and authorized the illegal invasion and occupation of foreign land prepared to pledge financial support to the victims of warfare?

The power primarily represented as authority and discretion mostly used as privilege is misinterpreted and misused in the absence of discernment.

War is not the answer to any or all political disagreements. The peace and diplomacy pursued sincerely could guarantee success benefitting all.

Padmini Arhant

Author & Presenter

PadminiArhant.com

Prakrithi.PadminiArhant.com

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Russia – Ukraine

Peace Agreement

Padmini Arhant

The latest development between Ukraine government and pro-Russian separatists in eastern Ukraine reaching an agreement to preserve ceasefire is a welcoming gesture for all citizens in eastern and western Ukraine as one nation. The ceasefire also provides relief to neighboring Russia as well as eastern Europe.

As for the standoff between Russia and the western counterparts i.e. the European Union and the United States in particular, the NATO expansion near and around Russia is obviously the bone of contention for the Russian federation. No nation in the modern age should either pose any threat or be threatened by any other nation individually or collectively near or far.

Russia’s concerns with NATO presence at the doorstep as a direct security problem is not unreasonable.

The revival of cold war tensions prompting all sides on eternal alert with military readiness not barring nuclear alarm is not the choice in the contemporary era or in the future. There is an urgency to reverse situation to normal. The major nuclear powers i.e. the United States and allies together with Russia’s unanimous acknowledgment to shift from military position to active fruitful diplomacy is the need of the hour from several dimensions viz. the regional and global security standpoint, preventing unnecessary loss of civilian and defense personnel precious lives and averting serious economic liability in the prolonged standoff.

The western maneuver to surround Russia with NATO forces impetus Russian defense mechanism and other military strategy to protect territorial integrity as sovereign right. Simultaneously Russia’s troop deployment and military assets across Ukraine and Russia border including the northern side on Belarus sends a wrong message contradictory to Russia’s public statement on the political decision to de-escalate situation.

Russia’s military troops distribution around Ukraine in the aftermath of Russia and western representatives unsuccessful meeting on NATO withdrawal from Russian boundary and eastern bloc creates undesirable predicament for the citizens in Ukraine and Russia. The civilians and armed forces on both sides are forced into the conflation adding complexity to the otherwise containable crisis. There is a requirement on all sides to pull back from the current military position and engage in peaceful negotiations.

Why Russia’s current military plan is inimical to Russia in many facets?

The western thought on Russia’s earlier invasion and annexation of Crimea from Ukraine’s eastern peninsula in 2014 is the result of NATO further expansion in the region.

However, Russia’s explanation on Crimea is arguably otherwise. Russia citing Russian speaking citizens in Crimea fleeing their home town due to unrest erupting from western authorized violence in maidan square and subsequent government removal in Kiev in 2014 led to the pro-Russian separatists movement that are still prevalent in the eastern Donbas region in Ukraine.

The majority Russian speaking Crimean population then seeking the territory union with Russian Federation in the local referendum at that time led to the annexation.

In fact, “On 11 April 2014, the parliament of Crimea approved a new constitution, with 88 out of 100 lawmakers voting in favor of its adoption. The new constitution confirms the Republic of Crimea as a democratic state within the Russian Federation and declares both territories united and inseparable.”

Regardless, the western stance is Russia’s aggressive takeover of Crimea is unacceptable and accordingly Crimea not recognized as Russia’s territory by the west until now.

The truth lies somewhere in between on both sides of the argument. There is no doubt that NATO buildup in eastern Europe reaching Russia’s nearest territorial border i.e. Ukraine becoming the western target in 2014 and thereafter is the fundamental cause of the present crisis.

The western involved insurrection in 2014 continued with hostile overthrow of democratically elected then incumbent government of President Viktor Yanukovych fleeing for life and sought political refuge in Russia. The anti-democratic event held on global watch in 2014.

The intensive western influence and installation of Ukrainian governments not barring neo-nazi representation post western insurrection launched in Kiev in 2014 fomented internal economic and political strife for Ukrainians paying the price till date.

The ground reality in Ukraine in 2014 paved the way for Russia to seize opportunity to annex Crimea, undeniably the key strategic location for Russian naval base in the Black sea.

The Crimean republic joining the Russian federation might have been a major windfall for Russian defense strategy. Nevertheless, the territorial gain has not been without consequences for Russia. The western perspective on Crimea remains the compelling factor to increase NATO alliance against Russia with Ukraine as the rolling dice to perform to western demand on the other hand proved counterproductive so far.

Additionally, the western NATO extension also largely connected to the past with former nuclear Soviet Union sprawling authority over entire eastern Europe including the Balkan states and central Asia. Not to mention the liberation of east Germany with the removal of Berlin wall that separated the German territory from then west Germany not in a distant memory serve as the reminder in preventing history from repeating itself again.

The exSoviet Union quest for territorial conquest was not limited to central and eastern Europe. The desire to acquire more power and landmass misled the former Soviet Union to invade and occupy Afghanistan having centralized power in that part of the world i.e. Central Asia comprising Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan and Tajikistan were annexed as the independent republics under Soviet central command and economy. The Soviet adventure in Afghanistan was catastrophic for the occupied Afghans as well as the occupier Soviet Union i.e. USSR with United States and Afghan mujahideen led battle resulting in Soviet withdrawal from Afghan soil.

Anything too big to control and manage eventually disintegrates with severe impact on the origin and in this instance Russia and Russians suffered significant economic, political and military setbacks that were inevitable. Once Soviet Union was debilitated in Afghan war, the house of cards crumbling on the Soviet empire followed sequentially with no option but to accept the reality i.e. Russia returning to home base to get the house in order that was in disarray in semblance with contemporary situation. There is a serious and important lesson to learn for Russian political leaderships from Russian history in the twentieth and twenty first century.

The equivalent of present dynamics in western and Russian stalemate regarding Ukraine is 1991 Kuwait invasion by then Iraq President Saddam Hussein. The miscalculated error from then Iraqi President Saddam Hussein failed to recognize the Kuwait trail was nothing more than a bait or decoy that trapped the once United States ally Iraqi President Saddam Hussein into  wanton invasion of Kuwait. Little knowing that Iraqi President Saddam Hussein’s grave mistake set the track for the United States neo-conservatives and zionists as hawkish strategists to utilize that Iraqi invasion of Kuwait against Iraq later in 2003. Though the hawkish strategists used chemical weapons against Iraq as the convincing narrative in the United Nations to win general consensus on the illegal invasion of Iraq in 2003.

The United States and NATO attack on Iraq in 2003 implementing the pre-meditated and long anticipated Project for New American Century (PNAC) with Iraq among several crucial middle eastern, north African and central Asian nations such as Afghanistan on the card for the US and NATO brutal aggression witnessed worldwide. The United States and NATO warfare in these regions are yet to cease with direct and indirect weapons supply and logistic support delivered to nations in perpetual conflict such as to Saudi Arabia against Yemen and other factions in Libya, Syria, Lebanon and other groups engaged in perpetual confrontation.

The history is testament in this regard.

All said and done, the irrefutable fact is Russia’s contribution in the world stage in maintaining the balance of power in twentieth century in World War 1 and World War 2 is praiseworthy. Russia is a powerful nation with tremendous experience in glory and upheavals throughout history.

The Russian power is best enhanced in establishing democracy at home alongside peace and unity with neighbors like Ukraine and the rest of eastern Europe as well as central Asia. Russia’s commitment to sovereignty, independence and territorial integrity in the region and outside exemplified in permanent peace deal with Ukraine would preempt solidarity and renew normal ties with the neighbor across the border.

The idea of invasion and conquering nations near and far In the hope of revival of former empire status is obsolete and critically excruciating failure known up until now. The imperial and colonial quest drain the domestic economy with skyrocketing sovereign debt burdened on every man, woman and child including the ones yet to be born in the world.

The United States is classic example in this context. The invasion and occupation of foreign land in Afghanistan, Iraq and other parts of the world costing American taxpayers in trillions and the war veterans ending as homeless dwelling under the bridge and downtown areas in major American cities is heart wrenching sight.

Similarly, the nations under attack and occupied by major powers exhibiting military might and exhausting defense stockpiles are rendered refugees in their homeland. The population in these war torn nations are denied access to basic survival at home and neither accepted as political refugees in the aggressors’ land. The world has seen these events far too many times and still ongoing in many regions predominantly due to the misguided Superpower glamor equipped with nuclear status rejecting the adverse ramifications of such indulgence.

Russia’s current position as publicly clarified by the political leadership President Vladimir Putin  ruling out invasion of Ukraine is welcome. The statement delivered in action by pulling the Russian troops back from Ukrainian boundary all around would be credible. The Russian positive steps in this respect would build reliable trust among citizens in Ukraine and international community.

Instead, the Russian political decision to surround Ukraine militarily as negotiation tool with the west on NATO incursion against Russia is basically aggravating the problem rather than resolving the issue. The actions always verify the intent than words in all matter.

Now the United States, European Union, the European Commission combined as the western front are in requirement to tone down the rhetoric on anti-Russian information fueling the dilemma. The western conditions and rules of engagement with a nuclear Russia seated at the UNSC as a permanent member with veto power deserve careful approach and respectful exchange synonymous to vice versa expectations from the west with Russia. The western policy using NATO to leverage against Russia upon being replicated by the latter through military armament against Ukraine is interestingly not appreciated.

The nation right at the center and primary victim in the entire western power versus Russian disagreement is Ukraine. The western and Russian equation comprising Ukraine as the constant factor would invariably yield negative result to both sides that are obviously beneficial to none especially Ukraine held hostage in the crisis.

The European Commission. public offer on economic package to Ukraine to the tune of 2 billion euros in three installments with a first one in the amount 1.2 billion euro followed by 600 million in the second and 200 million as the third installment payment could be very enticing for any economically struggling nation.

Unfortunately, the economic bargain on sovereignty of a nation in the present time appears to have been reduced to mere two billion or so in price tag. The economic incentive from European Commission upon being extended to Ukraine as unconditional monetary aid i.e. no obligation on Ukraine’s part to join NATO considering that is one of the issue for Russia in the national security concern, the economic deal would be more appropriate.

Alternatively, the European Commission or European Union returning the illegal funds held in tax shelters in Europe, the money transferred from corruption deals in Ukraine among oligarchy and other members within and outside Ukraine depriving Ukraine citizens the economic development in the country would be equitable.

Either way, the EU through EC providing economic assistance without any pressure or coercion on Ukraine to compromise national sovereignty by not having to be a NATO ally or submit to western geopolitical goals would be honorable.

Ukraine spared from traditional divide and conquer strategy familiar in the imperial past and present would be a new chapter in the era. The financial relief to the battered Ukrainian economy primarily due to foreign intrusions and corruption in domestic system is imperative more than anything else.

Russia and Ukraine working together in reconciling differences to mitigate the military interventions from all sides beginning with Russian forces retreat and NATO confinement away from Russian and neighboring territory is the path to peaceful settlement in the current stalemate in eastern Europe.

The peaceful resolution of Ukraine crisis is in the best interest of all parties and above all the regional stability anywhere in the world is tied to global peace and security.

The overzealous and capricious policy on international affairs has been unfavorable and perpetuated the impasse.

Hence all parties are urged to prioritize human lives, economic costs, sovereignty, self-determination of nations and territorial integrity in mutual respect and recognition of individual nations, regional and world peace.

Your attention and interest is much appreciated.

Thank you.

Padmini Arhant

Author & Presenter

PadminiArhant.com

Prakrithi.PadminiArhant.com

United States – Texas Border Crisis

March 19, 2021

United States – Texas Border Crisis

Padmini Arhant

Texas border crisis is a serious national security and major health threat to entire nation. Texas SOS in this regard deserves urgent attention and resolution.

The Biden administration’s open border policy is egregious and dangerous evidenced in the ongoing avalanche of problems in every respect surfacing thus far. The border patrol vaccination as mentioned by Texas governor Greg Abbott is critical to protect national servicemen and women risking lives in the pandemic situation. The burgeoning tsunami across the border in Texas is national emergency directly resting on the federal government to address effectively. Any casual treatment of border influx would lead to enormous security, health and humanitarian disaster.

The Biden administration closing the border with necessary lawful arrangements seeking border security and other organization involvements that were previously engaged in monitoring and checking arrival of members is immediate priority.

Any negligence in controlling border activities would only exacerbate heath, economic and security matter nationwide.

Thank you.

Padmini Arhant

 

 

 

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